Reply #32: Nobody Really Knows What Israel Will Do [View All]

[DallasNE]

Yesterday I posted the following.

<i>Israel quickly broke the ceasefire announced by the US as a face-saving gesture for Rice's miserable failure at diplomacy. On the heels of that Israel announced a major call-up of reserve forces.

I'm afraid the genie is out of the bottle this time. And that is mostly because Bush squandered all of his capital on his mistaken invasion of Iraq.

Israel is not only going to create a sizable buffer zone between Lebanon and Israel but also between Lebanon and Syria, trapping 300,000 Lebanoneze inside Syria. At least that is Israel's master plan. Who knows what this may provoke but it certainly will not be a ceasefire. And good luck in getting either a UN or NATO force to bail Israel out.</i>

Today Israel struck 90 miles north of the border making my prediction look pretty spot on, sad though it is. Sistani has warned Bush to rein in Israel and Syria may not sit by idly while Israel occupies a large chunk of Lebanon.

If Israel wants the UN to bail them out in Lebanon the UN should impose the peace agreement that Clinton drew up at Camp David just before he left office. At first Arafat rejected that agreement, then after fighting broke out following Sharon's "visit" to the Temple Mount, Arafat had a change of heart and accepted it. Israel at first accepted it then when Arafat had his change of heart so did Israel as they backed out and would no longer have any part of it. This may be the only hope.