Reply #8: Not worth arguing over a prediction [View All]

[Dr Ron]

That's my prediction on Gore, but predictions at this stage in a political race mean little. There is also no objective evidence to use, so it is an argument which cannot be won. The only answer would be if Gore does enter the race at a point early enough to raise money to compete with Clinton and Kerry. There's no doubt Gore would win the blogosphere, but we know that has little to do with what happens in the real world.

Actually nominations between candidates who are relatively similar such as Kerry and Gore could easily come down to something unexpected happening in a campaign such as a single gaffe or a single great moment by either candidate. It can also come down to whoever wins the ground war in getting out their vote in the early caucus and primary states.

Regardless of what happens, there are many reasons, including those you mention, why Kerry's loss does not exclude him as a possibility for 2008 any more than Gore's loss does. Morris is totally off the wall on this.