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Reply #42: There are 51 distinct exit polls, for the states and DC. [View All]

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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-24-04 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #36
42. There are 51 distinct exit polls, for the states and DC.
You cannot sum the number of individuals in every poll and then use that amount to determine the MOE for an individual poll. The margin of erron for the Ohio poll is not based on how many people were sampled in 50 other polls. Your method is flawed in this regard.

To determine the MOE in the Ohio poll, or the Florida poll at a given reporting moment, you need specific information regarding that particular poll. Without the specifics, it is just a guessing game. My guess is 3 percent.

The population mean of the 50 differences between the exit polls and the vote count is -1.77 percent.

What are your t-Test results?

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