Reply #29: I essentially agree [View All]

[Abacus]

DEVs/REVs is the current extrapolation based on a moving average of recent polls

The Projected shows an estimate of what the EV score would look like if polls were done in all 50 states today.



Blue/Red: self explanatory. Green is the projected number of what Obama's EV score would look like if polls were done in all 50 states today. Blue and Green should trend toward each other.

Bottom chart is the popular vote mean.



Source Data for the above charts. Regrettably, I did not keep a history of my data before August; it simply wasn't very interesting.