Reply #30: Playing along [View All]

[HFishbine]

I'm a Dean guy who would vote for *lark. Here's the only possible *lark scenario.

He will not finish third in Iowa, four candidates poll above 10% in IA(Dean, Gep., Kerry, and Edwards). ALL others are at 7% combined. Second place for *lark in NH is in striking distance, but Kerry's moving up, while Clark is stagnant.

It all comes down to a few states on Feb. 3. SC, where *lark is currently second by only one point to Dean; AZ, where *lark is second to Dean by 2 points; and OK where *lark leads by 13 points.

February 3rd will be a benchmark for *lark. He doesn't cinch it if he wins three states that day, but he's out of it if he hasn't managed to win at least two states by Feb. 3rd.