Newsweek poll: first time voters favor Kerry 57-36 [View All]

[WI_DEM]

Newsweek has a new poll out giving Bush 48% and Kerry 46%--basically a "dead-heat", but among likely voters Bush is up 50-44 percent, so Newsweek states, "turnout" will be vital.

First time voters (new registerees, are not considered likely voters, and here Kerry has a big lead--57-36 percent over Bush.

Interestingly, the gender gap in the Newsweek poll is turned around, Bush leads among females 49-43 while Kerry wins the male vote 50-46. Any explanation for this? could it be Bush's assertion in debate 2 that there will "absolutely be no draft"??

The "youth" vote goes to Kerry 50-41 and he also leads soidly with the "senior" vote 54-39. 50-64 year olds are split, while Bush enjoys a big lead with my age group, 30-49 year olds 56-39.

http://www.msnbc.com/id/620444/site/newsweek
all interviews were conducted following the final debate.

TIME also has a new poll showing a tied race 47-47 percent.
Among those who watched all three debates 57-27 percent say Kerry won the debates.

Who had the better understanding of issues during the debate 49-40 choose Kerry (much too close imo)

Who was more likable? Kerry 47-45.

Bottom line for all polls--Turnout is key.