Reply #30: What polls have you been looking at? [View All]

[TheVirginian]

Zogby's poll that has Webb within five points of Allen is most definately an outlier. Rasmussen has Webb ten points down, and SurveyUSA has Webb an astonishing 17 points down. And both of those polls are more recent than the Zogby poll.

Meanwhile, every poll done in Tennesee shows Ford down by no more than five points against the strongest GOP candidate, Bob Corker.

Other advantages include the fact that there is no incumbent in Tennessee, whereas George Allen is a current Senator, former Governor, former Representative, and former Delagate. Jim Webb, for all of his netroots appeal, hasn't been a proven quantity in terms of fundraising, and significantly trails Allen ($230K to $7.1 million) in cash on hand, where Harold Ford is a great fundraiser and has attracted big names to help him raise money. Finally, Ford is a savvy politician, and comes from a political family, where Webb is running in his first ever campaign, and shows signs of being a novice.

I'm not saying that Webb has no chance, but everything points to Tennessee being a stronger opportunity for a pick-up than Virginia.