Bad News: Elite Dem operatives predict Dean will be nominee - will lose. [View All]

[janekat]

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/dcspoliticalreport/
The following is from a non-partisan political digest that I get. It's mainly a group of detached political insiders/junkies who analyze different races. If anyone is interested, you can sign up for the digest at the above link:

Basically, what they think so far is that Dean will get the Dem nomination. Many think that he will lose rather badly in the general election. The best ticket in their opinion in Clark/Edwards, some like Clark/Shaheen.



>>>>>Elite list of Dem operatives predict presidential nominee.An elite list of 50 Democrats nationwide (operatives, not officeholders) were asked by political magazine National Journal who they really think will be the Democratic presidential nominee-- not who they are supporting or who they want to be the nominee.

In the survey, the group's consensus was that Howard Dean would be the nominee.<<<<<<




>>>>>If Dean picked up the nomination, he will lose every
Southern/Rocky Mt. state without any chance whatsoever. Here
in Alaska, Bush would win by a larger landslide than he did with
Gore in 2000.

Clark should get the nomination. It would appeal to moderate
voters everywhere and people concerned about national
security(ahem, GENERAL Clark).

I concede that Shaheen would never get the nomination for VP
JUST because she's a woman and she's working for the Kerry
campaign. Clark should choose Edwards.

Edwards would appeal to the Southern moderates because he
has said he would work VERY hard in the South-critical to any
Democratic nominee.

Clark/Edwards is poised to win Arkansas and West Virginia, and
lose New Mexico in exchange.

Right now Democrats are divided and Republicans are united
(with a lot of money). Unless the Liberal and moderate
Democrats join together to bash bush in '04, the party will never
have a chance. Nominating Dean would be the most foolish
thing- moderates would walk away from his candidacy and
Democratic congressional races would suffer without coattails.
(Bush vs. Clark=coattails)<<<<<


>>>>>>Unification is easier said than done. There are several different views on tax cuts and there are several different views on the war resolution and several different views on the supplemental appropriation.<<<<<<


>>>>>>Dean will be the nominee. Learn to deal with it. I learned to deal with Dole.<<<<<<<


>>>>>>>And the GOP in the South, Midwest and West hope so! especially the ones running against Dem House members!<<<<<<<


>>>>>>Ex-General Wesley Clark from Arkansas is quite the impressive
one, raising $3.5 Million in 2 weeks is not too bad in a splintered
Democratic field. After he wins the Democratic nomination, he
should team up with Ex-New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen as his VP running mate (even though she's working for Kerry's campaign).
She is a moderate - fiscally conservative and socially liberal. She
lost in a very close race for U.S. Senate (51-47) in Republican New
Hampshire. It would appeal to women/moderate voters nationwide
and would seal New Hampshire for the Democrats because last time New
Hampshire went Bush by only 8,000 votes.

Clark/Shaheen '04

ARKANSAS 6
California 54
Connecticut 8
Delaware 3
FLORIDA 25
Hawaii 4
Illinois 22
Iowa 7
Maine 4
Maryland 10
Massachusetts 12
Michigan 18
Minnesota 10
NEW HAMPSHIRE 4
New Jersey 15
New York 33
Oregon 7
Pennsylvania 23
Rhode Island 4
Vermont 3
Washington 11
Wisconsin 11

294 Electoral Votes

Gain:
Arkansas
Florida
New Hampshire

Lose:
New Mexico

The new dream team.<<<<<<<


>>>>>>what is this fascination with female VP's? It's not going to
happen!!! not braun, not hillary, and not Shaheen. It's too risky, america is not ready.<<<<<<