Reply #9: 9. This Week’s State Polls (Detail) [View All]

[phrigndumass]

9. This Week’s State Polls (Detail)


Alabama Obama 38, McCain 58 (Rasmussen, 7/31, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Alabama Obama 34, McCain 47, Nader 2, Barr 1 (AEA/Capital Survey, 8/4, +/- 4.1, 571 LV)
Arizona Obama 38, McCain 57 (Rasmussen, 7/30, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Arizona Obama 40, McCain 52 (Public Policy Polling, 7/31, +/- 3.1, 1000 LV)
Connecticut Obama 53, McCain 40 (Rasmussen, 7/31, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Florida Obama 40, McCain 45 (McLaughlin-R, 7/28, +/- 2.5, 1600 RV)
Florida Obama 44, McCain 50 (Survey USA, 8/3, +/- 3.8, 679 LV)
Florida Obama 44, McCain 47 (Public Policy Polling, 8/2, +/- 3.5, 807 LV)
Massachusetts Obama 47, McCain 38 (Suffolk University, 8/3, +/- 4.9, 400 RV)
Massachusetts Obama 54, McCain 38 (Rasmussen, 8/5, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Michigan Obama 49, McCain 45 (Rasmussen, 8/7, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Missouri Obama 44, McCain 50 (Rasmussen, 8/7, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
New Jersey Obama 52, McCain 42 (Rasmussen, 8/4, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
New York Obama 55, McCain 36 (Rasmussen, 8/4, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
New York Obama 57, McCain 36 (Quinnipiac University, 8/4, +/- 2.7, 1353 LV)
Oklahoma Obama 24, McCain 56 (Sooner Poll, 7/23, +/- 3.6, 750 LV)
Oregon Obama 48, McCain 45 (Survey USA, 8/4, +/- 4.0, 629 LV)
Washington Obama 47, McCain 35 (Elway Poll, 7/31, +/- 5.0, 405 RV)
Washington Obama 54, McCain 42 (Rasmussen, 8/6, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)
Wisconsin Obama 44, McCain 38 (Wisconsin Policy Research, 8/4, +/- 4.0, 600 LV)
Wisconsin Obama 51, McCain 44 (Rasmussen, 8/5, +/- 4.5, 500 LV)


Scale:
Strong Obama (10% or greater)
Weak Obama (5% to 9%)
Lean Obama (0% to 4%)
Lean McCain (0% to 4%)
Weak McCain (5% to 9%)
Strong McCain (10% or greater)



^ Probability of winning a state, found by cross-referencing a
candidate’s percentage lead with the poll’s margin of error.