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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
15. The strongly approve vs strongly disapprove percentage is a key reference point
Mon Mar 30, 2020, 12:52 AM
Mar 2020

Not every poll breaks it down that way but some do. In 2018 Republicans were faring well in enthusiasm polls but Trump's strongly disapprove number was almost twice the strongly approve percentage. It was generally in the 47-24 range. People who disapproved of Trump strongly disapproved. That translated to votes.

I haven't looked at that relationship lately but we need to gap to remain as wide as possible.

I remember Romney was said to have a big enthusiasm edge in 2012, specifically after exceeding expectation in the first debate. That drove the betting price on Obama down and I took advantage. Obama was in that surreal advantage of incumbent whose party had been in power only one term. Obama also had the swing state polling edge in 2012, meaning his electoral college chances were far beyond his popular vote chances. Nate Silver was emphasizing that repeatedly. Then if flipped in 2016 with Hillary's electoral college situation always far more precarious than the national polling indicated. Again, Nate Silver was all over that also.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Ha! eom PubliusEnigma Mar 2020 #1
Wait about two weeks. ucrdem Mar 2020 #2
Why are you so sure? fallout87 Mar 2020 #28
Peak coronavirus. nt ucrdem Mar 2020 #37
Once again polls of no one I know. LakeArenal Mar 2020 #3
This is why Bernie needs to drop out, LuvLoogie Mar 2020 #4
Yep. Lack of enthusiasm for Biden is all Sanders' fault hangaleft Mar 2020 #31
There is plenty of enthusiasm for Joe... LuvLoogie Mar 2020 #40
The Question They Ought To Ask, Ma'am The Magistrate Mar 2020 #5
Absolutely agree Sir that Sanders needs to drop out, and the sooner the better. He also needs to Celerity Mar 2020 #6
Unfortunately, Ma'am, 'Bernie' Can Be Relied On To Do The Wrong Thing The Magistrate Mar 2020 #8
+1 Celerity Mar 2020 #13
There is huge enthusiasm to vote against Trump Frances Mar 2020 #10
I Agree, Ma'am The Magistrate Mar 2020 #12
Well, Sir, I believe, Sir, they did in fact fallout87 Mar 2020 #29
Enthusiasm For Voting Against The Cheap Thug Trump, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #32
like last time a large chunk of bernie voters say trump's their choice nt msongs Mar 2020 #7
These, Ma'am, Are What 'Bernie' Thinks Gives Him Leverage To Make Demands The Magistrate Mar 2020 #9
Because they're a much smaller actual number this time around, we can hopefully survive a 15% Celerity Mar 2020 #11
You Are Quite Right, Ma'am The Magistrate Mar 2020 #14
The strongly approve vs strongly disapprove percentage is a key reference point Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #15
+1 Celerity Mar 2020 #16
Malarkey! Vote with heart and mind,not stimulated nerves... UncleNoel Mar 2020 #17
The economy was great during the JFK/LBJ years of Vietnam tirebiter Mar 2020 #18
Somehow this just does not pass the smell test. Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #19
15% say they'd back Trump over Biden in the fall scardycat Mar 2020 #20
see this Celerity Mar 2020 #21
ABC News Poll...ABC News Poll BidenBacker Mar 2020 #22
Excellent reminder, BB. Lucid Dreamer Mar 2020 #30
You have a right to be skeptical, LD BidenBacker Mar 2020 #36
And Bernie also beat Biden in enthusiasm Wanderlust988 Mar 2020 #23
I dont have to be excited MFM008 Mar 2020 #24
Given the kinds of people who get really enthusiastic Hortensis Mar 2020 #25
The enthusiasm is getting Trump out. That would be a blue wave. That blue wave is behind Biden. LizBeth Mar 2020 #26
Sounds like BS to me SheltieLover Mar 2020 #27
welcome to DU Celerity Mar 2020 #33
Cripes, it's not a popularity contest. It would be nice if people voted with their intellect. captain queeg Mar 2020 #34
Well... Mike Nelson Mar 2020 #35
Once again poll questions off marlakay Mar 2020 #38
Where do I show enthusiasm on my ballot? Votes are comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #39
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