Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: As we turn to the Fall campaign, who is Biden's choice for VP? [View all]Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)She repeatedly emphasized the correct points during the debates, that she has a history of pulling red voters. The numbers back it up. For example, Hillary lost white non-college educated men by 33% (63-30) in Minnesota 2016. Two years later Klobuchar managed 46% among the same group, losing by only 7% at 53-46. These days Democrats never receive 46% of that block. And this was in a more conservative electorate than 2016. The 2018 Minnesota electorate was 33% conservatives to 27% liberals while 2016 was 32% conservatives and 28% liberals.
Klobuchar rescued 17% of Trump voters in 2018, losing that block 82-17. That sounds bad until you compare it to anyone else. Literally anyone else. Many of our 2018 candidates received 5% or less of the Trump vote. The national House number was 8% of Trump voters supporting the Democrat. To more than double the national number is remarkable. Plus there was considerable ticket splitting in Klobuchar's favor. Tim Walz received only 9% of the Trump voters while winning the Minnesota governor's race on the same day.
I'm not going to stray from belief in preference over turnout. To oust an incumbent we need to double down on preference and ideology and logical geography.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden