Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: NY, OH, MI, NJ, PA, FL, IL; This is far from over [View all]democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)He won Michigan in 2016 and may do so again, but Biden will probably be stronger there than Hillary was because he probably has more appeal to white working class voters than she did.
The rest of the map is not great for Bernie. He may do better in New York than he did four years ago, because he's not running against a home state senator, but I still think Biden is more likely to win here.
Florida is going to be really tough for him, between the Castro thing and his support for Palestinian rights.
Biden definitely has the advantage in Pennsylvania, where he grew up and where he embodies a lot of the blue collar voters. OTOH, a poll a couple weeks ago showed Bernie doing better against Trump in PA than Biden, so maybe that will have some impact.
Biden also has a bit of a neighbor advantage in NJ, and I believe that state also went for Clinton in 2016. Democrats there tend to be more well-off than a lot of other states, so that probably plays to Biden's advantage.
Ohio I'm not sure about but I would think it's a better state for Biden overall.
That said, I live in one of the states on your list and I would very much like the chance to have a say in the nominee. I can't stand the media's rush to narrow it to two candidates (so they don't have to spend as much covering many campaigns) and then supporters of whichever candidate is ahead demanding that the other candidate drop out before half the voters get the chance to weigh in.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided