Kevin Sheekey just admitted there is a real possibility Sanders basically wraps up a win on ST

[Celerity]

11. If Warren drops out (Klobuchar will be gone by then, she is dead last in most state and national

polls for candidates in last night's debate) enough of her support will go to Bernie to further boost him closer. Even 5% (if she is at 10%, I am saying he could get half of that from her) pushes him closer and closer.

Also, the bandwagon effect will start to kick in, and an air of inevitability will drive voters to Sanders as well.

There is almost no way that the 4 moderates to centre left (Biden, Pete, Bloomberg (who may now fall back after hsi bloodbath) and Klobuchar) candidates will have one emerge from the pack in time unless most or all of the following happened:

1 Klobuchar immediately drops out before NV but especially SC. Will never happen. She won't before SC I fear and possibly will not until after ST. She has no path to win, and can only help to add to Bernies chances as she takes from all the other moderates.

2 Pete immediately drops out or drops before ST. See Klobuchar and also factor in he is leading in delegates and has a shit tonne of money atm. He will not do it. He has a far better case to make than Amy.

3 Either (cannot be both) Biden or Bloomberg (who will need a massive rebound debate to do so) explodes into being the clear front runner moderate.

4 Warren hangs in there are keeps Bernie tamped down, even if it only marginally.


Assuming Number 3 above is Biden, he SO SO has to have a monster debate and come in a solid 2nd (first would be better yet) in NV and serious THUMP all and especially Bernie, in SC by a big, big margin.

Then you are back to a (hopefully) 2 person race, as either Biden or Bloomberg (if Bloomberg is that Number 3) would drop out post ST (we can hope). Pete and Amy exit after ST unless somehow Pete pulls a miracle and bcome the number 3.