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2016 Postmortem

Jarqui

(10,122 posts)

1. Iowa in 2016 is nearly a month later than 2008

Reply to Pryderi (Original post)

Sun Dec 27, 2015, 11:23 PM

Dec 2015

which suggests Bernie's position is even better.

The spike in 2008 to get Obama within 5 pts or so of Clinton came just after the Iowa caucus on Jan 3, 2008.

If Bernie wins Iowa (Feb 1, 2016) and NH (Feb 9, 2016), you'll see a dramatic tightening of the polls to within single digits.

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Highlight:

Bernie Sanders Is Polling 5.6% Higher Nationally Than Obama Was In 2008 [View all] Pryderi Dec 2015 OP

Iowa in 2016 is nearly a month later than 2008 Jarqui Dec 2015 #1

Nice! Oh wait, Clinton is polling 11.3% higher than 2008... Godhumor Dec 2015 #2

11.3%. nt Lucky Luciano Dec 2015 #3

Thank ya, didn't realize the line highlighted was different than the overall. N/t Godhumor Dec 2015 #7

:-) <3 NurseJackie Dec 2015 #5

In 2007 the spread was 18.6 today it is 24.3 awake Dec 2015 #4

And Hillary is polling 14.5% higher than SHE was in 2008! MohRokTah Dec 2015 #6

Be prepared to weep. The Golden One Dec 2015 #11

Clinton Leads Sanders... CSStrowbridge Dec 2015 #14

Yep! Hillary will fall farther than she did in '08. n/t Pryderi Dec 2015 #16

Of course the huge difference is that Bernie Sanders is being ignored by the MSM and sabotaged by Todays_Illusion Dec 2015 #8

Funny how not having a three way race rjsquirrel Dec 2015 #9

Clinton is polling 29 points higher than Obama was in 2008. BlueCheese Dec 2015 #10

Seems like this is good news for everyone. artislife Dec 2015 #12

Thanks to kids like mine. The old ones who look like me have done so much damage. rusty quoin Dec 2015 #13

K&R nt Live and Learn Dec 2015 #15