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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver: Bernie Sanders Could Win Iowa And New Hampshire. Then Lose Everywhere Else [View all]SunSeeker
(52,043 posts)5. Interesting how far down the chart California is.
Last edited Thu Jul 9, 2015, 12:40 AM - Edit history (1)
White liberals form the same percentage of the population in California as they do in North Carolina, 26%. But liberals form 50% of the voters in California, keeping it very blue. People of color appear to comprise a little less than half of CA liberals. I would have thought it would be a higher percentage.
The LA Times ran a story today with the headline, "It's official: Latinos now outnumber whites in California."
http://touch.latimes.com/#section/1780/article/p2p-83948649/
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Nate Silver: Bernie Sanders Could Win Iowa And New Hampshire. Then Lose Everywhere Else [View all]
RandySF
Jul 2015
OP
Well he did say himself that most analysts are not punished for being wrong, are rewarded for being
Ed Suspicious
Aug 2015
#41
many people don't consider themselves liberal even if they are socially liberal and support taxes on
JI7
Jul 2015
#16
It is weird considering it is a true blue state. But there are some hardcore conservative areas.
cui bono
Jul 2015
#20
Key point: These aren't percentages of population but of Democratic primary voters.
Jim Lane
Jul 2015
#39
Is Nate Silver working for Hillary because I keep hearing that the only people discussing Sanders'
Number23
Jul 2015
#6
Some folks have a quarrel with social science/political science/statistics/demography
DemocratSinceBirth
Jul 2015
#11
Nate is basically making the same point as 1StrongBlackMan about Bernie's base
Tatiana La Belle
Jul 2015
#12
I was super mad at Nate when he predicted such a large loss in the Senate Mid terms
Sheepshank
Jul 2015
#24