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muriel_volestrangler

(101,322 posts)

21. One point I've just seen on another forum - Labour is suffering in Scotland

Reply to Drew Peacock (Reply #20)

Fri Oct 10, 2014, 10:23 AM

Oct 2014

In 2010, Labour had 42% of the vote for 41 seats, SNP 20% for 6 (Lib Dems got 11 from 19% - their support is concentrated in rural constituencies). Now, SNP are at 42%, and Labour 29% in Scotland. A swing like that could mean Labour lose 30 seats to the SNP, I reckon. It's possible that the SNP will end up the 3rd largest party, in seats, in 2015, since the Lib Dems are collapsing.

Imagine the negotiations if Labour is the largest party, but still a minority.

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23 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Tory MP Douglas Carswell defects to Ukip [View all] muriel_volestrangler Aug 2014 OP

Carswell ... Carswell ... now where have I heard that name before? non sociopath skin Aug 2014 #1

Not entirely surprised by this T_i_B Aug 2014 #2

So if the first ever UKIP MP turns out to be an ex-Tory MP ... non sociopath skin Aug 2014 #3

Not strictly the first... LeftishBrit Aug 2014 #6

Some interesting speculation on HuffPost non sociopath skin Aug 2014 #4

Mad Nad and Jacob Really Smug - is it possible to be a normal person and in UKIP too? muriel_volestrangler Aug 2014 #5

Not to mention my fave MEP, Daniel 'The NHS is a 60-Year Mistake' Hannan LeftishBrit Aug 2014 #7

Depressing article about the Clacton by-election T_i_B Oct 2014 #8

UKIP gains first elected MP with Clacton win T_i_B Oct 2014 #9

This message was self-deleted by its author LeftishBrit Oct 2014 #10

Never thought I'd live to see the day... LeftishBrit Oct 2014 #14

Could see it wasn't going to go for the Tories... T_i_B Oct 2014 #15

Heywood & Middleton is the story here. Drew Peacock Oct 2014 #16

People don't identify with any of the mainstream parties T_i_B Oct 2014 #17

Yes there is that, Lab %ov was actually slightly up Drew Peacock Oct 2014 #18

The Tories and UKIP could be like Labour and SDP-Liberal alliance in 1983 muriel_volestrangler Oct 2014 #19

Agreed, but it appears that, increasingly, UKIP are taking Labour votes Drew Peacock Oct 2014 #20

One point I've just seen on another forum - Labour is suffering in Scotland muriel_volestrangler Oct 2014 #21

Yep Drew Peacock Oct 2014 #22

This one is interesting T_i_B Oct 2014 #23