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United Kingdom

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EarlG

(22,015 posts)
Fri May 3, 2024, 09:06 AM May 3

A rough election night for the Conservatives (UK) [View all]

Local election results continue to come in. For U.S. readers, these are not elections which involve control of the national government, but they are often seen as a harbinger of things to come for the general election (which is likely to be later this year). Conservatives have controlled the UK for the last 14 years (and had five different Prime Ministers during that time).

The Conservatives are having a very, very rough time. They have lost around half of the seats they are defending.

If this rate of loss continues across all the seats being fought, it would be in line with their worst performance in a set of local elections when looked at as a proportion of their seats lost - which was back in 1995.

And we know what happened two years later in 1997 - they lost the general election by a landslide.

These are the kind of numbers that will well and truly give Conservative MPs the heebie-jeebies.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-68948038


It can't be denied that this is a total disaster for the Tories. Just one thing stuck out to me as a possible canary in the coalmine situation in regard to upcoming U.S. elections:

Labour are taking a hit in places with a significant proportion of Muslim voters, where there appears to be evidence of a negative reaction to Labour's approach to the Israel-Gaza conflict.
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