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In reply to the discussion: So far, no spike in coronavirus in places reopening, U.S. health secretary says [View all]Igel
(35,374 posts)Takes a while for the infections to show symptoms, become hospitalized, and then result in death.
It's like the report after a Detroit protest on Wednesday. On Saturday the cases spiked. Except that it wouldn't have been until Saturday that there was any chance of a test coming back positive, it took 24-48 hours for the tests to run, and there'd be no reason to get tested because the average time to first symptoms is 5 days. Get infected Wednesday, maybe show symptoms Monday, get tested on Tuesday, get test results on Thursday ... Not the previous Saturday.
Most of the uptick are restricted to a few counties, and those are connected to specific events or places.
Hospitalizations should be ticking up by now, though, but I don't know where to get day-by-day hospitalization data by county for Texas.
Increased positive tests (that's what the word "case" means here, not "sick person" lag the test date by 1-2 days; test dates lag symptom onset by a couple of days; first symptoms lag date of infection by 3-6 days (for the most part--not earlier, sometimes later). Make a graph (which looks like a number line, to be honest) and it's easier.