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Cosmocat

(14,623 posts)

19. This election will boil down to outside factors

Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:14 AM

Jul 2016

For the reasons you note, if nothing bizarre happens, hard to see him winning.

However, and I don't say this about her personally AND I think 90% of it has been complete bullshit.

But, Hillary is VERY brittle as a candidate due to a quarter century of almost nonstop hate fest against her.

That is why roughly four weeks ago, she has a fairly solid lead, but then Comey did his hit job on her and she (as a political figure) cratered..

The conventions reset things, and she probably will bounced back to close to where she was, and given that the other option is Donald Trump, hard to see how she won't get a least a little more of those not voting for either than Trump down the stretch.

HOWEVER, anything unusual that happens favors Trump, because this country is that stupid.

SO, anything that might once again really hit Hillary negatively will probably crater her again, any terrorist attacks will favor Trump (again, because the stupid get ramped up by fear), any significant economic down turn will favor Trump (again, because we are THAT stupid).

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Clinton Leads Trump by 6 Points After Democratic Confab: Reuters/Ipsos Poll [View all] Hissyspit Jul 2016 OP

That can't be correct! left-of-center2012 Jul 2016 #1

Well clearly SOMEONE is lying groundloop Jul 2016 #2

I think I heard or read ... left-of-center2012 Jul 2016 #4

Indeed you did. sofa king Jul 2016 #20

Seriously, he said that? nt thucythucy Jul 2016 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author RiverNoord Jul 2016 #14

What does Trump have to do to not get elected in this country? LisaL Jul 2016 #15

This message was self-deleted by its author RiverNoord Jul 2016 #18

Setting arbitrary benchmarks is meaningless. stopbush Jul 2016 #24

He has said that about Latinos several times already. riversedge Jul 2016 #27

i wonder if Manafort has to tell that to tRump just to keep his orange ass in the campaign 0rganism Jul 2016 #37

The Clinton surge is starting! uawchild Jul 2016 #3

Any polls out yet on safeinOhio Jul 2016 #5

Here is one site aeroman Jul 2016 #6

This headline seems a bit misleading to me TeddyR Jul 2016 #8

That's not the news some people want to hear PDittie Jul 2016 #12

Per the rules of this forum, original headline has to be used. LisaL Jul 2016 #13

Thanks for pointing that out TeddyR Jul 2016 #28

This message was self-deleted by its author RiverNoord Jul 2016 #16

Not "we" but "you" are not in a happy place Democat Jul 2016 #30

This message was self-deleted by its author RiverNoord Jul 2016 #36

It is those voters that we really have to work for. unitedwethrive Jul 2016 #33

NOT GOOD ENOUGH. Polls cant be within margin of "error," aka electronic election fraud Kashkakat v.2.0 Jul 2016 #9

Most of This Poll videohead5 Jul 2016 #10

Only 76% are facing up to the real choice (Clinton v Trump) at this point frazzled Jul 2016 #11

This election will boil down to outside factors Cosmocat Jul 2016 #19

Yes, the unexpected event meets stupid factor frazzled Jul 2016 #21

Sadly, NO. They're tied. progressoid Jul 2016 #17

She should win by 20 points. Too many haters in the US I guess. nt Lucky Luciano Jul 2016 #22

Marvelous Convention bucolic_frolic Jul 2016 #23

That's all?? We're in trouble if that's true. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #25

The country is evenly split, no candidate is going to be up by 20 Democat Jul 2016 #31

20% is too much. That part is for sure. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #34

Only 6 points? This country is seriously effed up! C Moon Jul 2016 #26

As others have noted TeddyR Jul 2016 #29

6 points is a fine lead Democat Jul 2016 #32

It actually shows them tied oberliner Jul 2016 #35