General Discussion
Showing Original Post only (View all)Can it be??? Trump Is Losing His Core Support [View all]
FiveThirtyEight.com has found something new in the polling data: A loss in core support for Trump.
"To the contrary, Trumps base seems to be eroding. Theres been a considerable decline in the number of Americans who strongly approve of Trump, from a peak of around 30 PERCENT in February to just 21 OR 22 PERCENT of the electorate now. (The decline in Trumps strong approval ratings is larger than the overall decline in his approval ratings, in fact.) Far from having unconditional love from his base, TRUMP HAS ALREADY LOST ALMOST A THIRD OF HIS STRONG SUPPORT. And voters who STRONGLY DISAPPROVE OF TRUMP OUTNUMBER THOSE WHO STRONGLY APPROVE OF HIM BY ABOUT A 2-TO-1 RATIO, which could presage an enthusiasm gap that works against Trump at the midterms. The data suggests, in particular, that the GOPs initial attempt (and failure) in March to pass its unpopular health care bill may have cost Trump with his core supporters."
"...they fell considerably from about 29 percent on March 6 when Republicans introduced their HEALTH CARE BILL to around 24 percent on April 1, shortly after the GOP pulled the bill from the House floor. They then remained stable for much of April, before beginning to fall again this month after the reintroduction (and House passage) of the HEALTH CARE BILL and AFTER TRUMP FIRED FBI DIRECTOR JAMES COMEY on May 9. As of Tuesday, just 21.4 percent of Americans strongly approved of Trumps performance."
(emphasis added)
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-base-is-shrinking/?ex_cid=Weekly3
The midterms are a long way away. Anything can happen. But support among his core supporters is so low...it must be historical.