Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Biden's Best Shot Lies In Three 'Blue Wall' States [View all]And an egregious one. She had a stop planned there, but the Pulse shooting happened. She canceled the visit because she and Obama felt it would be inappropriate to hold a campaign rally when so many were mourning. If she'd kept her schedule, then you can bet everyone would have eviscerated her over it.
So she could not win, no matter what she did.
As it is, studies have shown that a campaign visit wouldn't have made all that much difference in the state:
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
8-2018
Publication Source
The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics
Abstract
Hillary Clintons failure to visit the key battleground state of Wisconsin in 2016 has become a popular metaphor for the alleged strategic inadequacies of her presidential campaign. Critics who cite this fact, however, make two important assumptions: that campaign visits are effective, in general, and that they were effective for Clinton in 2016. I test these assumptions using an original database of presidential and vice presidential campaign visits in 2016. Specifically, I regress party vote share on each candidates number of campaign visits, at the county level, first for all counties located within battleground states, and then for counties located within each of six key battleground states: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The results of this analysis do not clearly support either of the assumptions made by Clintons critics. In general, none of the presidential or vice presidential candidates including Clinton significantly influenced voting via campaign visits. However, Clinton is one of only two candidates along with Mike Pence, in Ohio whose campaign visits had a significant effect on voting in an individual state. Specifically, Clintons visits to Pennsylvania improved the Democratic tickets performance in that state by 1.2 percentage points. Also, there is weak evidence to suggest that Clinton might have had a similar effect on voting in Michigan. It is unclear from this evidence whether Clinton also would have gained votes, or even won, in Wisconsin had she campaigned in that state. But two conclusions are clear. First, Clintons visits to Democratic-leaning battleground states did not have the backfiring effect that her campaign reportedly feared. Second, Donald Trump did not win in Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin as a direct result of his campaign visits to those decisive states.
https://ecommons.udayton.edu/pol_fac_pub/116/
But, yeah, keep clinging to the oh-so-convenient delusion that she lost Wisconsin because she didn't visit.
Edit history
Please sign in to view edit histories.
59 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
RecommendedHighlight replies with 5 or more recommendations
These polls are intended for us go give up...not cause any sort of enthusiasm. Make no mistake.
Demsrule86
Mar 15
#48
These shitty polls are useless...and let's see how the specials went...Oh wait, we won
Demsrule86
Mar 16
#58
First of all...union membership is on the upswing...secondly Trump came out as right to work.
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#30
We lost the Senate seat in 22 during the red fizzle midterm...when Roe had recently
Demsrule86
Mar 16
#59
Wow. As a union member, I'll say this whole conversation about unions between you two is kind of ridiculous.
Scrivener7
Mar 14
#10
Boy you really can cheer us up, the union vote means nothing. Georgia and Arizona are already lost.
doc03
Mar 15
#53
Jill Stein and her Russian buddies target Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania...Trump
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#22
She sure f'ing did... I can't stand her or the GREEN in party...which stands for get republican elected
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#37
people are also convenient to not mention the gutting of the VRA between the 2012 and 2016 elections
MistakenLamb
Mar 14
#20
Usually when you call something a lie you don't acknowledge it is a fact immediately.
TheKentuckian
Mar 15
#57
This is always the case...has been for years. Rust belt wins or loses elections...
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#21
Even if Biden wins WI, PA, MI, VA, NH, CO, and NM, it still may well come down to NE-2.
Celerity
Mar 14
#24
First of all, there is no reason for what you suggest to happen. Nevada isn't going to flip.
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#25
Way too early to call the final results, but Maine needs to stop splitting EVs, as my scenario with it coming down to
Celerity
Mar 14
#26
I would like this too. But I would rather be us than Trump. I think he will lose badly if we don't
Demsrule86
Mar 14
#27
I agree that Nevada is far from a lock but I think Nevada to Republicans is like North Carolina to Democrats...
All Mixed Up
Mar 14
#42
as I always state, it is way too early, and there is crazy delta, but I see large flashing red lights atm
Celerity
Mar 14
#44
Polling show us losing the Senate seat too...but we didn't. The polling out there sucks.
Demsrule86
Mar 15
#47