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Amy-Strange

(854 posts)

255. You have to add the probabilities together...

Fri Aug 7, 2020, 08:06 PM

Aug 2020

-

not count them individually.

One of the predictions from DreamGirl's psychic might have a high probability of happening, but when you add all of them together, the probabilities shoot out of sight.

Read a book on probability. You'll see.
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I KNOW FOR A FACT THAT trump is going to lose in November. [View all] Amy-Strange Jun 2020 OP

Oh ffs PTWB Jun 2020 #1

How did you feel about Clinton when she was leading in polls? Hoyt Jun 2020 #2

This knowing premonition is only my second one, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #11

Here's to your current premonition coming true. Hoyt Jun 2020 #19

Thank you, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #29

This message was self-deleted by its author tman Jun 2020 #103

She was leading in popular vote but polls showed Comey hurt her JI7 Jun 2020 #204

We need to act as if we are behind and work to make sure. cayugafalls Jun 2020 #3

Absolutely agree. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #14

what are the lottery numbers going to be? qazplm135 Jun 2020 #4

I didn't say I had a feeling... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #15

I'll see you are right about something qazplm135 Jun 2020 #16

To me it's not highly likely, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #31

Just by the laws of probability, there's a good chance you'll be right. Crunchy Frog Jun 2020 #37

You so clever! Dream Girl Jun 2020 #32

Lol, typical. demmiblue Jun 2020 #38

I wish I was smart like you! Dream Girl Jun 2020 #40

Lol! demmiblue Jun 2020 #44

No qazplm135 Jun 2020 #51

A lot of people can't, so... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #57

no one can qazplm135 Jun 2020 #71

I'd be on your side if... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #78

someone got something right qazplm135 Jun 2020 #114

What I know is not because of a strong feeling, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #119

The concreteness of your belief qazplm135 Jun 2020 #121

It does for me, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #125

I still have no idea what you are talking about qazplm135 Jun 2020 #130

Show me your personality right now... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #156

that's not "personality" qazplm135 Jun 2020 #165

I don't agree, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #168

you dont agree with the dictionary? qazplm135 Jun 2020 #176

"Taken a bunch of psychology courses in 'College'." Tipperary Jun 2020 #133

I'm trying to engage positively here qazplm135 Jun 2020 #136

Thank you, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #157

I've had strong hunches a handful of times in life but... hlthe2b Jun 2020 #5

isnt 50% just chance? samsingh Jun 2020 #7

That's the point... hlthe2b Jun 2020 #8

ok samsingh Jun 2020 #9

No, it's a coin flip's chance. coti Jun 2020 #22

Good plan! Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #12

Lol! demmiblue Jun 2020 #6

what lotto numbers ... NCjack Jun 2020 #10

Sorry, but I didn't hear it here first. panader0 Jun 2020 #13

It's not a feeling. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #18

How much did you bet on the Superbowl victory you KNEW would happen? panader0 Jun 2020 #25

Unfortunately, I don't gamble, because... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #34

Oh just stop. Dream Girl Jun 2020 #28

Stop what? n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #35

Not you, I was directing this at the belittling comes about lotter numbers, so dumb Dream Girl Jun 2020 #39

It's not a feeling is it? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #43

No there is a difference between "knowing" and "feeling". Dream Girl Jun 2020 #58

Exactly Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #61

See my post below. Dream Girl Jun 2020 #68

You don't have "latent psychic abilities" PTWB Jun 2020 #158

I'm not really interested in what do think or believe. Dream Girl Jun 2020 #201

That's fine. PTWB Jun 2020 #230

Prove it Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #231

Prove that you aren't a psychic? PTWB Jun 2020 #233

I'm not a psychic. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #235

That isn't at all what you claimed originally. PTWB Jun 2020 #236

Actually it is, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #238

Not in my eyes. PTWB Jun 2020 #240

I never said it was a PSYCHIC premonition. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #241

I'm not telling folks what to believe or not to believe (unlike you). Dream Girl Jun 2020 #232

Nailed it. PTWB Jun 2020 #234

No, you haven't qazplm135 Jun 2020 #53

Maybe, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #56

Because I embrace logic, reason and science qazplm135 Jun 2020 #75

I have evidence, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #99

people have "personal experience" qazplm135 Jun 2020 #101

Obviously, you don't believe them either, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #102

not really qazplm135 Jun 2020 #107

Maybe, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #115

yes SCIENCE qazplm135 Jun 2020 #117

Parapsychology is a science. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #162

not really qazplm135 Jun 2020 #174

Why not? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #178

with as much good nature as I can muster qazplm135 Jun 2020 #183

So let me get this straight... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #188

lol qazplm135 Jun 2020 #190

That I'll agree with, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #193

I can use scientific methods qazplm135 Jun 2020 #210

Some people think psychology is also a pseudoscience, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #205

it's a soft science qazplm135 Jun 2020 #211

I agree, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #214

first of all no that's not true qazplm135 Jun 2020 #221

It is true. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #224

Not a science. A pseudoscience. n/t Crunchy Frog Jun 2020 #202

You obviously have never experienced is hence you desire to explain it away. I once had a reading Dream Girl Jun 2020 #66

It is hard to believe something like that, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #70

This psychic was well known, I think she may have done police work. It was so amazingly accurate Dream Girl Jun 2020 #74

It happened in the Ted Bundy case... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #77

Link to this psychic in the Bundy case? Tipperary Jun 2020 #142

Crap, I'd have to search through my book on Bundy, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #145

was that a case about tasty German cakes? qazplm135 Jun 2020 #155

Ha, just saw that myself. Tipperary Jun 2020 #159

lol qazplm135 Jun 2020 #72

It's not something you can turn on or off... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #79

Because for psychics to be real qazplm135 Jun 2020 #106

We don't really know much about physics, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #111

I'm sorry but that's really really wrong qazplm135 Jun 2020 #120

We don't even know 1% of why physics does what it does. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #123

where did you come up with that number? qazplm135 Jun 2020 #128

Just a guess, but even scientist will tell you... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #131

saying qazplm135 Jun 2020 #135

Like I said, it was just a guess. n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #180

This was the one and only time I ever consulted a psychic. Dream Girl Jun 2020 #89

So let's break this down... qazplm135 Jun 2020 #108

That's a lot of coincidences, don't you think? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #113

nope not really qazplm135 Jun 2020 #116

Maybe, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #134

I mean by definition qazplm135 Jun 2020 #137

Well, if it makes you feel any better... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #167

You have to add the probabilities together... Amy-Strange Aug 2020 #255

Well, I hope you'll pardon me if I don't find your premonition Crunchy Frog Jun 2020 #17

Doesn't matter. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #24

and if it had gone the other way they would have been right - putting you at 0 for 1 Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #55

But, it didn't, did it? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #60

You had a 50% chance of being right. Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #67

Nope, I'm not going to be complacent, nor... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #73

The point is not whether YOU are going to be complacent, Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #83

How can I stop something that I've already done? n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #84

Don't do it again, and stop defending it. n/t Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #86

I'm not going to start another thread like this, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #90

Then when Trump wins, you can pat yourself on the back Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #92

I don't want to pat myself on the back. I want trump to lose. n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #93

We do not even know if this Seahawk story is even true lol. Tipperary Jun 2020 #140

I'm going to assume qazplm135 Jun 2020 #147

I see your point. Tipperary Jun 2020 #179

That's because you don't believe in premonitions, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #185

don't think you are lying qazplm135 Jun 2020 #191

But, you can't prove me wrong, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #194

annnnd qazplm135 Jun 2020 #223

Exhausting isn't it, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #228

Amusing - Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #149

I am with you on that . Tipperary Jun 2020 #181

You're right, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #184

If I say tomorrow that qazplm135 Jun 2020 #76

Maybe, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #80

all psychics are fake qazplm135 Jun 2020 #85

Like I said... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #87

well qazplm135 Jun 2020 #88

Ok, that's funny, and I wish I could, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #91

what you think you know qazplm135 Jun 2020 #110

I have... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #118

well qazplm135 Jun 2020 #122

Actually, that's exactly how science works. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #127

peer review qazplm135 Jun 2020 #132

Isn't that disproving a positive with a negative? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #138

no think of it as a scale qazplm135 Jun 2020 #144

I agree with some of that, but the ape wasn't extinct. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #148

well that should show you qazplm135 Jun 2020 #151

That's not the only negative to be proven true... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #153

Most didn't believe that gorillas existed, until... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #152

most people not believing something qazplm135 Jun 2020 #154

True, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #160

literally the opposite qazplm135 Jun 2020 #163

Those other people don't think so... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #164

YOU say it DOES exist Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #171

Absolutely correct, except... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #173

Completely irrelevant as to whether you have to prove a positive or a negative. n/t Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #177

Interestingly enough... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #166

no, you are the one telling us it exists qazplm135 Jun 2020 #182

What I said from Post 160 was, "I believe bigfoot exist", and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #187

see the difference twixt you and me qazplm135 Jun 2020 #192

I understand, and I agree, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #196

you should qazplm135 Jun 2020 #200

No, I won't dismiss it, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #208

I don't agree, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #189

I already listed some things qazplm135 Jun 2020 #197

Ok, I know this is gonna sound crazy, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #203

time travels qazplm135 Jun 2020 #209

maybe, but Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #213

no not maybe qazplm135 Jun 2020 #220

Yes maybe Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #225

You remind me of having to write court responses to "sovereign citizens." Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #222

It is exhausting Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #226

as another attorney qazplm135 Jun 2020 #227

And, based on your familiarity with physics, Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #229

nope qazplm135 Jun 2020 #237

So science is just a hobby? n/t Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #242

I'm not good enough to call it a hobby lol qazplm135 Jun 2020 #243

You were doing a pretty good job. Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #246

I always assume qazplm135 Jun 2020 #247

I'm not a real physicist. Ms. Toad Jun 2020 #249

Funny qazplm135 Jun 2020 #251

okay, thanks... Javaman Jun 2020 #20

It will, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #36

What a strange thing to say... Disaffected Jun 2020 #21

I am Amy-Strange after all! n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #26

May your premonition come true. Aristus Jun 2020 #23

Thank you, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #27

I know for a fact RANDYWILDMAN Jun 2020 #30

I'm not a big football fan, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #41

He's not right Awsi Dooger Jun 2020 #126

Lol, ok? Nt USALiberal Jun 2020 #33

My friends laughed at me also, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #42

This thread is not going well for you! nt USALiberal Jun 2020 #206

Why should it? n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #207

For some time now, I have been imagining the dance I will do when Trump loses on Nov 3 MissMillie Jun 2020 #45

You WILL dance, and it WILL be beautiful. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #46

You do? What stock should I invest in since you are so clairvoyant? n/t KWR65 Jun 2020 #47

Read my whole post, because... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #48

I thought DU had a 1000 post minimum before you Ilsa Jun 2020 #49

Ok, that's funny, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #50

Cleo, Is That You? ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #52

I thought so too, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #54

Sounds Like Your Friends Bet ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #59

My friends were upset that I was right, because... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #69

Works for me! lettucebe Jun 2020 #62

Thank you for your support, but don't get complacent... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #65

It was just a coincidence that the Seahawks won Polybius Jun 2020 #63

If you say so, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #64

No you don't Polybius Jun 2020 #212

But they did, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #215

It's not an opinion, it's science Polybius Jun 2020 #216

How is predicting Biden will win kooky, extreme or hateful? n/t Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #217

Because there's no such thing as ESP or any other type of magic you claim to have Polybius Jun 2020 #218

I'm not claiming any of that, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #219

In the USA, it's not enough to win the election DFW Jun 2020 #81

Good point, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #82

If you mean the Electoral College DFW Jun 2020 #94

Isn't that how you win a presidential election? Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #95

I've had premonitons before so I welcome yours! Blasphemer Jun 2020 #96

I know how you feel, because... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #97

Addiciton is difficult - you definitely made the right choice... nt Blasphemer Jun 2020 #112

I still wish I hadn't made that choice, though, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #141

I predicted tRump would win and it wasn't based on BigmanPigman Jun 2020 #98

That definitely makes sense, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #100

I believe you. I too have had strong feelings on things. tman Jun 2020 #104

Just as long as you still vote and work hard to get rid of that guy, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #105

I'm not American, but I've been watching overseas as America descends into darkness. tman Jun 2020 #109

Except other clowns, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #161

We have our own clown in the UK. tman Jun 2020 #186

I'll take it! soothsayer Jun 2020 #124

Your user ID says it all, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #129

Amy-Strange .YOU HAVEN'T GOT A CLUE, i PREDEICTED THE SAME..ON APRIL 11, at this link: Stuart G Jun 2020 #139

That was only speculation, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #143

Your's 2 is only speculation, I said it first, I was on the right track before you boarded the train Stuart G Jun 2020 #146

Ok you win, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #150

I can't contribute much concerning you premonition pecosbob Jun 2020 #169

They didn't play the Falcons in that Super Bowl... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #170

Sorry, didn't actually type what I meant to say... pecosbob Jun 2020 #172

Crap, I do that too. Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #175

I knew UNC was going to win the 2009 NCAA Basketball Championship Renew Deal Jun 2020 #195

Liar... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #198

lol Renew Deal Jun 2020 #199

well, reading this thread is 15 minutes I'll not get back... NRaleighLiberal Jun 2020 #239

Can you summarize so I won't have to do the same? lpbk2713 Jun 2020 #250

okay but let's still all do the work to GOTV anyway, including you. nt TeamPooka Jun 2020 #244

Thank you, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #252

It may not be scientific or verifiable but I appreciate the positive words renate Jun 2020 #245

Thank you, and... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #253

Prophecy has been disproved by the Enlightenment LanternWaste Jun 2020 #248

If you say so, but... Amy-Strange Jun 2020 #254