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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

24. That has happened a couple times earlier Ms.Toad, in fact, in one case it actually reversed

Sat Mar 28, 2020, 10:29 PM

Mar 2020

for one day. I will have to give it more time. Maybe we will see the flattening that we saw in China, though I doubt that.

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I see a slight leveling on the logarithmic chart for the US the past few days. Here is my fear [View all] Quixote1818 Mar 2020 OP

TY! SheltieLover Mar 2020 #1

a flattened curve does not mean you wont get it from sick people still out there. nt msongs Mar 2020 #2

I beg to differ. LisaL Mar 2020 #3

The rates of increase in the relevant time period: Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #9

Thanks for showing it a lot more clear than I did. nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #13

I've got a chart where I've been tracking it. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #16

Yes, you are the go to person for the math here from way back when. Thanks. nt Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #18

So the second derivative is negative central scrutinizer Mar 2020 #15

That's more math than I was planning on explaining here - Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #17

If you look at the total curve, you will see the condition that you mentioned happen Blue_true Mar 2020 #23

That has happened several times before at lower infection levels. nt Blue_true Mar 2020 #22

What I look for is a multi-day trend in the same direction. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #28

You have to click on the logarithmic graph Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #11

Exactly how I've been doing it. Mike Niendorff Mar 2020 #42

K&R, a flat curve helps hospitals but does not end the growth of cases. We're Italy now and uponit7771 Mar 2020 #4

There is no flat curves on there. LisaL Mar 2020 #5

Thats when I have it bending, as well. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #6

Our household will continue to protect ourselves. MerryBlooms Mar 2020 #7

I fear that's some wishful thinking (that it's slowing as of 23rd) CloudWatcher Mar 2020 #8

If you look carefully at the logarithmic chart Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #14

That has happened a couple times earlier Ms.Toad, in fact, in one case it actually reversed Blue_true Mar 2020 #24

As I noted in another response - Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #29

You could be right on your call. One of the periods that I looked at had only a 3 Blue_true Mar 2020 #37

Time will tell. n/t Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #39

One thing about China is rulers there literally put their feet on people's necks Blue_true Mar 2020 #43

It's not just blue cities and states - AND some blue cities and states Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #46

There was a time a while back when DeWine was a forward thinking, fairly rational leader. Blue_true Mar 2020 #49

My point is that we ought to recognize positive actions, regardless of party affiliation Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #50

I don't mean to squash your optimism, but I doubt there is any slowdown in the rate of infections Victor_c3 Mar 2020 #10

That's a good point. What drives the news is hospitals being overrun. Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #12

Re: the Deaths.. GopherGal Mar 2020 #19

Yes, they will trail probably for a couple of weeks. In China there are people just now dying who Quixote1818 Mar 2020 #21

Very possible. nt Blue_true Mar 2020 #25

Check me if I am wrong, but deaths more than doubled in two days? Blue_true Mar 2020 #20

The change in death rate will lag any change in new cases Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #32

I get that. Blue_true Mar 2020 #35

Having watched it in China Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #38

The numbers are not correct... Reporting tends to be all over the place JCMach1 Mar 2020 #26

During the same time... did TESTING RESULTS ALSO DECLINE? JustFiveMoreMinutes Mar 2020 #27

I don't think testing results declined - Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #34

I'm not sure about that FreeState Mar 2020 #40

There are two groups of data there Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #41

Thanks! FreeState Mar 2020 #48

So now it's evident FreeState Apr 2020 #61

No. The curve is bending. Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #62

This is good news but no reason to let up Turbineguy Mar 2020 #30

Absolutely not the time to let up. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #33

i saw the curve flatten a abit also. assumed it was good n ews Demovictory9 Mar 2020 #31

There are many states which are at the beginning of the curve GeorgiaPeanut Mar 2020 #36

Maybe. Igel Mar 2020 #44

Help me out with some math here genxlib Mar 2020 #45

Looks like it could be more than 10000 by next Saturday nt doc03 Mar 2020 #47

I think you are making the mistake of using the data you have as the real situation. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #51

The hospital I work at in Seattle ismnotwasm Mar 2020 #52

3/27 6:30 pm ET WA: 254 confirmed cases currently hospitalized / 175 to date ending in death to date pat_k Mar 2020 #55

Testing continues to be so limited, the "real" numbers are essentially unknown. pat_k Mar 2020 #53

I've been watching that too, and it's good to see. Captain Stern Mar 2020 #54

I remember the last time we got a big "Mission Accomplished" from a Republican president DFW Mar 2020 #56

Sorry, but this corresponds to CDC changing testing parameters elias7 Mar 2020 #57

Those are positive test case results muriel_volestrangler Mar 2020 #58

Today's numbers dipped again FreeState Mar 2020 #59

Sunday seems to result in fewer results posted Roland99 Mar 2020 #60