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The_jackalope

(1,660 posts)

3. If/when this pandemic dies out

Reply to The_jackalope (Original post)

Sun Mar 22, 2020, 02:23 AM

Mar 2020

Based on the behaviour of the last month's numbers (an admittedly small sample compared to what's coming) it looks to me like the final fatality rate of the COVID-19 pandemic when all is said and we're all done, will be on the order of 8-9%. That's multiples higher than 1918. I pray to all the gods we wish existed that I'm wrong, but regardless, it's clear that this is a Category 5 pandemic.

A Category 5 Pandemic is a real thing? Yup:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic_severity_index

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Keeping up with the numbers [View all] The_jackalope Mar 2020 OP

Sorry to go all numeric, but The_jackalope Mar 2020 #1

I'm a numbers person myself, so thank you for posting. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #2

If/when this pandemic dies out The_jackalope Mar 2020 #3

You won't get that inflection until most countries are past their maximum. Igel Mar 2020 #4