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wnylib

(21,146 posts)
37. So far, US sources say there are 15
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 01:51 AM
Feb 2020

confirmed cases inside the US. But I just read on the BBC site that there are 60 cases in the US. Wonder why the discrepancy and where the BBC got its figure from.

It's also helpful to realize that many cases are not diagnosed PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #1
"May be" significantly less. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #3
If you honestly think that the published number so those who've contracted PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #6
A more effective way to make things look better than they are The_jackalope Feb 2020 #11
Wouldn't there be an incentive wnylib Feb 2020 #25
Yes, but there's an at least equal incentive to under report deaths The_jackalope Feb 2020 #35
So far, US sources say there are 15 wnylib Feb 2020 #37
Johns Hopkins web site reports 60. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #38
That percentage is probably still helpful as a benchmark vs other similar diseases though ... mr_lebowski Feb 2020 #5
Exactly Sunsky Feb 2020 #30
That's a very good point. PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #43
Much more likely greenjar_01 Feb 2020 #39
SARS and MERS are both 10%+ and are in the same family Amishman Feb 2020 #41
It is probably going up because many people are just carriers or applegrove Feb 2020 #2
Early data is always noisier than later data The_jackalope Feb 2020 #4
Spanish flu was really bad in that it was most lethal for young adults. Lucky Luciano Feb 2020 #7
So maybe it's turns out to be half as lethal as Spanish Flu, and affects older people The_jackalope Feb 2020 #10
Well the early data was more accurate because they could always almost applegrove Feb 2020 #8
But Chinese politicians were (and are) heavily involved in the data management. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #9
But if you don't count all the carriers, and the virus has gotten out of containment, applegrove Feb 2020 #14
Overcounting the cases or undercounting the deaths both make the situation look better. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #15
I think the Chinese are scientists. They dislike bad data as much as applegrove Feb 2020 #16
The problem might not be bad scientists The_jackalope Feb 2020 #17
But it is spreading. Other countries will be able to figure out the mortality rate applegrove Feb 2020 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author applegrove Feb 2020 #18
the powers that be recognize the significance Demonaut Feb 2020 #12
It looks like they do. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #13
Rec Always appreciate your posts lunasun Feb 2020 #20
The good news: it's not killing kids. Laffy Kat Feb 2020 #21
Unlike the flu. So far this season, there have been... 3catwoman3 Feb 2020 #22
Yes, thanks; I was just checking the CDC for peds. Laffy Kat Feb 2020 #23
The majority of those are in China though and alot of those I suspect are people that were more cstanleytech Feb 2020 #24
Correct answer is we don't know yet, but it's a number 2-9% JCMach1 Feb 2020 #26
No one here has mentioned another wnylib Feb 2020 #27
It's actually a bit early. Stats will move around... Wounded Bear Feb 2020 #28
It has been around that since early on - Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #29
In Korea it's less than 1 percent Blues Heron Feb 2020 #31
This virus starts off very mild and gradually gets worse. Coventina Feb 2020 #34
we have little dependable data as China held back for so long, and I am more concern about beachbumbob Feb 2020 #32
+1, uponit7771 Feb 2020 #40
OK, you talking about behavior of the data makes me think you know more about this stuff than Squinch Feb 2020 #33
Intuitively I agree with you. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #36
A controlled population might be a better measure. onenote Feb 2020 #42
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