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applegrove

(118,014 posts)
2. It is probably going up because many people are just carriers or
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 01:39 AM
Feb 2020

mild cases and, have not been counted as having caught COVID-19. So the ratio is not as spot on as it was when this started.

It's also helpful to realize that many cases are not diagnosed PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #1
"May be" significantly less. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #3
If you honestly think that the published number so those who've contracted PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #6
A more effective way to make things look better than they are The_jackalope Feb 2020 #11
Wouldn't there be an incentive wnylib Feb 2020 #25
Yes, but there's an at least equal incentive to under report deaths The_jackalope Feb 2020 #35
So far, US sources say there are 15 wnylib Feb 2020 #37
Johns Hopkins web site reports 60. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #38
That percentage is probably still helpful as a benchmark vs other similar diseases though ... mr_lebowski Feb 2020 #5
Exactly Sunsky Feb 2020 #30
That's a very good point. PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #43
Much more likely greenjar_01 Feb 2020 #39
SARS and MERS are both 10%+ and are in the same family Amishman Feb 2020 #41
It is probably going up because many people are just carriers or applegrove Feb 2020 #2
Early data is always noisier than later data The_jackalope Feb 2020 #4
Spanish flu was really bad in that it was most lethal for young adults. Lucky Luciano Feb 2020 #7
So maybe it's turns out to be half as lethal as Spanish Flu, and affects older people The_jackalope Feb 2020 #10
Well the early data was more accurate because they could always almost applegrove Feb 2020 #8
But Chinese politicians were (and are) heavily involved in the data management. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #9
But if you don't count all the carriers, and the virus has gotten out of containment, applegrove Feb 2020 #14
Overcounting the cases or undercounting the deaths both make the situation look better. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #15
I think the Chinese are scientists. They dislike bad data as much as applegrove Feb 2020 #16
The problem might not be bad scientists The_jackalope Feb 2020 #17
But it is spreading. Other countries will be able to figure out the mortality rate applegrove Feb 2020 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author applegrove Feb 2020 #18
the powers that be recognize the significance Demonaut Feb 2020 #12
It looks like they do. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #13
Rec Always appreciate your posts lunasun Feb 2020 #20
The good news: it's not killing kids. Laffy Kat Feb 2020 #21
Unlike the flu. So far this season, there have been... 3catwoman3 Feb 2020 #22
Yes, thanks; I was just checking the CDC for peds. Laffy Kat Feb 2020 #23
The majority of those are in China though and alot of those I suspect are people that were more cstanleytech Feb 2020 #24
Correct answer is we don't know yet, but it's a number 2-9% JCMach1 Feb 2020 #26
No one here has mentioned another wnylib Feb 2020 #27
It's actually a bit early. Stats will move around... Wounded Bear Feb 2020 #28
It has been around that since early on - Ms. Toad Feb 2020 #29
In Korea it's less than 1 percent Blues Heron Feb 2020 #31
This virus starts off very mild and gradually gets worse. Coventina Feb 2020 #34
we have little dependable data as China held back for so long, and I am more concern about beachbumbob Feb 2020 #32
+1, uponit7771 Feb 2020 #40
OK, you talking about behavior of the data makes me think you know more about this stuff than Squinch Feb 2020 #33
Intuitively I agree with you. The_jackalope Feb 2020 #36
A controlled population might be a better measure. onenote Feb 2020 #42
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