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Showing Original Post only (View all)The case fatality rate for COVID-19 is not "about 2%" - it's 3.4% [View all]
Based on tonight's numbers from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ : Deaths 2804, Cases 82,183, the case fatality ratio is 3.41%
Not only that, but the fatality rate has been climbing steadily for the last two weeks:
12-Feb 2.13%
13-Feb 2.15%
14-Feb 2.27%
15-Feb 2.41%
16-Feb 2.49%
17-Feb 2.55%
18-Feb 2.67%
19-Feb 2.81%
20-Feb 2.93%
21-Feb 3.04%
22-Feb 3.13%
23-Feb 3.31%
24-Feb 3.37%
25-Feb 3.41%
26-Feb 3.41%
That climb could just be an artifact of slowing case growth, but maybe not. I'm no pandemiologist , but this behaviour of the data worries me. At the very least, the white coats and empty suits should be using more accurate numbers, in the interests of transparency.
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The case fatality rate for COVID-19 is not "about 2%" - it's 3.4% [View all]
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
OP
If you honestly think that the published number so those who've contracted
PoindexterOglethorpe
Feb 2020
#6
That percentage is probably still helpful as a benchmark vs other similar diseases though ...
mr_lebowski
Feb 2020
#5
So maybe it's turns out to be half as lethal as Spanish Flu, and affects older people
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
#10
But Chinese politicians were (and are) heavily involved in the data management.
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
#9
But if you don't count all the carriers, and the virus has gotten out of containment,
applegrove
Feb 2020
#14
Overcounting the cases or undercounting the deaths both make the situation look better.
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
#15
But it is spreading. Other countries will be able to figure out the mortality rate
applegrove
Feb 2020
#19
The majority of those are in China though and alot of those I suspect are people that were more
cstanleytech
Feb 2020
#24
we have little dependable data as China held back for so long, and I am more concern about
beachbumbob
Feb 2020
#32