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In reply to the discussion: 2% mortality from coronavirus? I don't think so. [View all]Demsrule86
(68,348 posts)17. The math is the math and It is probably worse as China has been lying IMHO. I am a
trained Biologist/ Biochemist with a minor in Math/Statistics, Computers and Chemistry also English literature but I digress. I have been really worried for a while now. You don't quarantine entire cities for a 2% death rate. Those of us who studied 1917 have been holding our breath with every flu epidemic...is this the 'one'? There is always 'one' at some point. And this looks very bad.
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I saw that too...but the died versus recovered...probably is only the people
Fresh_Start
Feb 2020
#1
Yep. Mortality likely is less than 2%, because many people infected likely never get seen.
eallen
Feb 2020
#8
If that was true, there would be no need for quarantine...keep supplies, money and water in your
Demsrule86
Feb 2020
#20
I hope you are right. The other important thing is this...will the virus be self limiting...as bad
Demsrule86
Feb 2020
#21
When news of this first came out, I heard up to a 10% mortality rate...a horrible figure...
SWBTATTReg
Feb 2020
#4
The first US patient in WA state was released from the hospital on Feb. 4 after admission on Jan. 21
LonePirate
Feb 2020
#9
The math is the math and It is probably worse as China has been lying IMHO. I am a
Demsrule86
Feb 2020
#17
That is my take also...and we don't know how honest China is being and how many are dying without
Demsrule86
Feb 2020
#16
Yeah, I saw someone on CNN earlier, I think with the CDC, who compared it to the flu.
cwydro
Feb 2020
#39
Another factor is the ability to provide the necessary treatment to those who need it.
58Sunliner
Feb 2020
#33
Either the infections or the deaths may be under-reported, for different reasons.
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
#35
How do we know there aren't many more unidentified cases that are mild and never get diagnosed?
pnwmom
Feb 2020
#36
Above your post. I commented that under-reporting can be either positive or negative
The_jackalope
Feb 2020
#42
We don't and we won't. Some experts think the # of infections are much higher.
58Sunliner
Feb 2020
#45
I figured about the same a few days ago, I've also screen shot the maps and rations on this site
Demonaut
Feb 2020
#47
Given the fairly large amount of unreported cases, I think the death rate will be more like 1 pct.
roamer65
Feb 2020
#66
From a different perspective; I wonder about the impact of the 5 million who
empedocles
Feb 2020
#78