General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: The conventional wisdom is that impeachment will help Trump. [View all]Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Both sides are going to turn out. We are never going to win an election by avalanching the GOP via turnout.
How will swing independents react to impeachment? That is all that matters. IMO, it is a difficult forecast but bottom line 56% of independents are male. That's what makes me nervous. Very easy for males to rationalize a shift back to the right, especially when economic conditions are good and an incumbent holds the White House. Swing voters assign credit to the incumbent if the economy is good, and that variable tends to obliterate all other factors.
We need to do anything to keep Trump's approval rating where it is now. If impeachment would accomplish that, I am not against impeachment. This is not an easy evaluation. Comparisons to prior situations are not fully valid.