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malaise

(267,800 posts)
14. Yah think??
Mon Aug 20, 2012, 07:23 PM
Aug 2012

Will 94L hit the U.S. mainland?
This storm is a long-range threat to the U.S., as historically, 16% of storms in 94L's location have gone on to hit the U.S., with North Carolina the preferred target (10% chance.) A trough of low pressure capable of pulling 94L to the north enters Western Canada Thursday night, and the exact timing and amplitude of this trough will determine the ultimate landfall location of 94L. The long range 7 - 14 day runs of the GFS model over the past three day have all predicted an eventual landfall for 94L in the U.S., though these long-range runs are notoriously unreliable. The predicted landfall locations have ranged from New England to Texas--which isn't much help. The past three runs beginning on Sunday afternoon have all taken 94L over Florida during the August 27 - 29 time frame, which I'm sure is making organizers of the Republican National Convention uncomfortable, since the convention is in Tampa August 27 - 30. However, 94L could miss Florida completely, as the average error in model forecasts going out 7 days is in excess of 500 miles. We can't rule out a North Carolina landfall, but the pattern we've seen so far this year is for landfalls in Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, so a more southwards path for 94L into the Yucatan is definitely a possibility.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2194
Wasn't there a hurricanes threatening Lebam in LA Aug 2012 #1
I remember they were calling for prayers for weather to hurt the Democratic convention in 2008 still_one Aug 2012 #2
Hurricane Gustav BumRushDaShow Aug 2012 #5
I live 30 minutes south of Charlotte. It has been raining here like a MFer for the past... renie408 Aug 2012 #8
Thanks Lebam in LA Aug 2012 #11
From your keyboard to God's monitor...n/t renie408 Aug 2012 #3
Thanks, from us Tampa Bay DU'ers independentpiney Aug 2012 #6
Well, if it makes you feel any better, I am an atheist. renie408 Aug 2012 #7
I'm with you on that one Generic Other Aug 2012 #29
+1 Scuba Aug 2012 #52
Anybody who hopes or wishes for a hurricane is nuts WI_DEM Aug 2012 #34
How fab would that be? Daemonaquila Aug 2012 #4
There a a lot of people who live in the area, too. Ineeda Aug 2012 #13
While I don't wish the RNC any success ... lpbk2713 Aug 2012 #9
Maybe that's what they want - an excuse to cancel LiberalEsto Aug 2012 #10
that would be so Old Testament. n/t KurtNYC Aug 2012 #12
Yah think?? malaise Aug 2012 #14
hope so. Tell the truth, Malaise...are you really a weatherman? weather person? :>) Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #15
Bwaaaaaaaaaaaah hahahah malaise Aug 2012 #17
what state? I was in New Orleans for three years...post Katrina, but had to evacuate Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #19
Wow post Katrina NOLA malaise Aug 2012 #28
lucky dog - Jamaica. what you should change your name to if they ever let us Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #41
i love malaise malaise Aug 2012 #42
they are talking about Gordon? Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #44
Gordon is gone n/t malaise Aug 2012 #48
omg...you are not really Matt Drudge are you? Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #51
p.s. check out myweather.com. It's my new fav weather site since I hate weather Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #20
Will do malaise Aug 2012 #30
wowzers spanone Aug 2012 #16
There had better not be one Gawd Damn dime maxrandb Aug 2012 #18
you win. funniest thing I have read the entire day !! thanks maxrandb nt Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2012 #21
Not fair malaise Aug 2012 #31
I can hear it now, "If this hurricane hits, FL must refuse ALL federal ssistance!" morningfog Aug 2012 #22
Not from me - not ever n/t malaise Aug 2012 #38
Knowing the damage that Hurricanes can do I wouldn't wish it on any state BUT merbex Aug 2012 #23
THat's my wish malaise Aug 2012 #39
It would foul up the schedule something major, HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #49
goodie flamingdem Aug 2012 #24
Anne's makeup will melt and Romney's hair dye will run down his face DonRedwood Aug 2012 #33
I hope the cameras are there to catch Ann's screetching voice flamingdem Aug 2012 #37
The merging of windbags. Should be interesting. n/t Horse with no Name Aug 2012 #25
With Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, Donald Trump, John McCain, Condi Rice, Nikki Haley davidpdx Aug 2012 #55
DUzy malaise Aug 2012 #56
I really hope not. Lone_Star_Dem Aug 2012 #26
Maybe they should re-name it Todd. MoonRiver Aug 2012 #27
Bwaaaaaaaaaaaaaah malaise Aug 2012 #47
what if socialist FEMA has to save them??!!!! OMG...please let Romney end up in a DonRedwood Aug 2012 #32
The Repubbies have "Heckuva Job Brownie" on their team Berlum Aug 2012 #53
Isn't it a week until the convention? WI_DEM Aug 2012 #35
And a week for this one to travel across the waters n/t malaise Aug 2012 #46
Or it could drift to New Orleans and Americans can say what they say when one hits Mexico RB TexLa Aug 2012 #36
I don't want anyone to get hit anywhere but malaise Aug 2012 #45
All us locals said this was a high probability. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #40
I asked from they named the date and venue why they would pick peak hurricane season malaise Aug 2012 #43
Yep, August and September are peak season. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #50
Now TD#9 - it's very early but this is looking like a Florida hurricane malaise Aug 2012 #54
Thats the one I'm watching. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #58
Now Tropical Storm Isaac malaise Aug 2012 #60
That was fast. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #61
I'm worried about Isaac malaise Aug 2012 #62
It could gain strength quickly. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #63
Andrew also hit FL last of Aug/ first of Sept. HooptieWagon Aug 2012 #59
WiLLIARd Rmoney will be the first to stay away if he smells a malaise Aug 2012 #57
Gawd Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #64
Gawd don't like dat Mormon Zorro Aug 2012 #65
Or how they practice their religion Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #66
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