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In reply to the discussion: Seriously will 'hurricane' Isaac be the keynote speaker at the ReTHUG [View all]malaise
(267,800 posts)14. Yah think??
Will 94L hit the U.S. mainland?
This storm is a long-range threat to the U.S., as historically, 16% of storms in 94L's location have gone on to hit the U.S., with North Carolina the preferred target (10% chance.) A trough of low pressure capable of pulling 94L to the north enters Western Canada Thursday night, and the exact timing and amplitude of this trough will determine the ultimate landfall location of 94L. The long range 7 - 14 day runs of the GFS model over the past three day have all predicted an eventual landfall for 94L in the U.S., though these long-range runs are notoriously unreliable. The predicted landfall locations have ranged from New England to Texas--which isn't much help. The past three runs beginning on Sunday afternoon have all taken 94L over Florida during the August 27 - 29 time frame, which I'm sure is making organizers of the Republican National Convention uncomfortable, since the convention is in Tampa August 27 - 30. However, 94L could miss Florida completely, as the average error in model forecasts going out 7 days is in excess of 500 miles. We can't rule out a North Carolina landfall, but the pattern we've seen so far this year is for landfalls in Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, so a more southwards path for 94L into the Yucatan is definitely a possibility.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2194
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Seriously will 'hurricane' Isaac be the keynote speaker at the ReTHUG [View all]
malaise
Aug 2012
OP
I remember they were calling for prayers for weather to hurt the Democratic convention in 2008
still_one
Aug 2012
#2
I live 30 minutes south of Charlotte. It has been raining here like a MFer for the past...
renie408
Aug 2012
#8
hope so. Tell the truth, Malaise...are you really a weatherman? weather person? :>)
Laura PourMeADrink
Aug 2012
#15
what state? I was in New Orleans for three years...post Katrina, but had to evacuate
Laura PourMeADrink
Aug 2012
#19
lucky dog - Jamaica. what you should change your name to if they ever let us
Laura PourMeADrink
Aug 2012
#41
p.s. check out myweather.com. It's my new fav weather site since I hate weather
Laura PourMeADrink
Aug 2012
#20
you win. funniest thing I have read the entire day !! thanks maxrandb nt
Laura PourMeADrink
Aug 2012
#21
I can hear it now, "If this hurricane hits, FL must refuse ALL federal ssistance!"
morningfog
Aug 2012
#22
With Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, Donald Trump, John McCain, Condi Rice, Nikki Haley
davidpdx
Aug 2012
#55
what if socialist FEMA has to save them??!!!! OMG...please let Romney end up in a
DonRedwood
Aug 2012
#32
Or it could drift to New Orleans and Americans can say what they say when one hits Mexico
RB TexLa
Aug 2012
#36
I asked from they named the date and venue why they would pick peak hurricane season
malaise
Aug 2012
#43