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factfinder_77

factfinder_77's Journal
factfinder_77's Journal
September 25, 2016

Scope of Trump's falsehoods unprecedented for a modern presidential candidate

Source: Los Angeles Times

Never in modern presidential politics has a major candidate made false statements as routinely as Trump has. Over and over, independent researchers have examined what the Republican nominee says and concluded it was not the truth — but “pants on fire” (PolitiFact) or “four Pinocchios” (Washington Post Fact Checker).

Trump’s candidacy was premised on upending a dishonest establishment that has rigged American political and economic life, so many of his loyalists are willing to overlook his lies, as long as he rankles the powerful, said Republican strategist Rob Stutzman.

“It gives him not only license, but incentive to spin fantasy, because no one expects him to tell the truth,” said Stutzman, who worked against Trump during the primaries. “They believe they’re getting lied to constantly, so if their hero tells lies in order to strike back, they don’t care.”

Read more: http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-false-statements-20160925-snap-story.html

September 24, 2016

Clinton's on 'Between Two Ferns' Breaks Records". viewed more than 30 million times first 24 hours




Hillary Clinton's appearance on Between Two Ferns With Zach Galifianakis is a bona fide hit.

The video, in which Clinton withstands a series of awkward and often insulting questions from Galifianakis' wacky talk show host, broke Funny or Die records after it appeared online on Sept. 22. The video was viewed more than 30 million times in its first 24 hours, the highest first-day viewership in Funny or Die history.

It had been nearly two years since the last episode of Between Two Ferns — an October 2014 clip with Brad Pitt — when the video went live on Wednesday at 5 a.m. PT. Within hours it was trending on Facebook and Twitter. It became the most socialed Funny or Die clip — with 500,000 Facebook shares and 25,000 retweets — in its first day.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/hillary-clintons-appearance-between-two-932233
September 23, 2016

HRC +9 in PA, +4 in NC (new state polls) -democracycorps

http://www.democracycorps.com/Battleground-Surveys/consolidating-democrats-the-strategy-that-gives-a-governing-majority/

On the eve of the first major presidential debate, the latest likely voter survey of the battleground states on behalf of Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund shows Hillary Clinton settled into a strong lead in Pennsylvania, a modest one in North Carolina, and essentially tied in Ohio and Nevada.[1] Her overall margin has narrowed from where we had it across the battleground in June. Nothing comes easily in this election year, but the Clinton margin should grow from the structure of the race revealed in this analysis. In the two-person ballot, her margin grows 2-points to a 5-point lead across these states and she takes the lead in Nevada. And if the 3rd party candidates weaken, as is normal, Clinton disproportionately benefits

September 23, 2016

A must read: Disaggregating Clinton’s Support Among Minority Voters -exploring racial differences

As reported by our partners at NBC, a majority of Americans (65 percent) are concerned about worsening race relations, and this does not differ based on race; people of all races are united in thinking that race relations are getting worse. Race relations will certainly be a factor in this election cycle, with both candidates calling the other racist and making the case that they are better for minority voters. Trump called Clinton a bigot and suggested that Democrats rely on minority votes while not solving their problems, while Clinton gave a speech connecting Donald Trump to white supremacist movements.

In this post, I’ll be looking at data from our Election Tracking poll of over 91,000 registered voters over the month of August. I am a PhD student at UC Irvine studying politics, racism, bias, and decision-making, and I’m assisting with election polling while interning with the research team at SurveyMonkey. I’ll be exploring racial differences in candidate preferences in more depth, since the large sample allows more fine-grained analysis of the large, diverse electorate.


https://blog.electiontracking.surveymonkey.com/2016/09/07/disaggregating-clintons-support-among-non-white-voters/
September 23, 2016

NYT/Siena College NC poll: 10 % of democratic voters would vote for Trump - cRaZy shit

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512432379

Female voters Clinton 49 % T 38 %
Male voters Clinton 39 % T 49 %
White voters Clinton 30 % T 56 %
Black voters Clinton 4 % T 4 %
Hispanic/Latino voters Clinton 52 % T 22 %

September 23, 2016

@maddow: dem +8 in early NC voting,GOP in suppression mode..

https://twitter.com/MaddowBlog/status/779133322505048064

The early voting data @maddow is reporting (Dems +8 in the very earliest NC voting) is why Gov. McCrory and the GOP are in suppression mode

4 years ago at the same time GOP was ahead 43 to 38


Absentee Ballots Returned in NC:
42% Dem, 34% Rep, 25% Una



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