factfinder_77

factfinder_77's Journal

May 15, 2016

In case you're wondering about those 64 delegates who didn't get seated.

https://np.reddit.com/r/NevadaForSanders/comments/4jd7nq/where_is_everybody/d35vi8d

May 15, 2016

Final Nevada Delegate Count: Clinton 20- Sanders 15

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NV-D

Clinton won 20 pledged delegates to Sanders' 15 on the day of the FIRST caucus (months ago). Next, at the COUNTY convention level -- and in Clark County, the most populous in the state -- a lot of Clinton delegates didn't show up (in part owing to incorrect mailings and more sent by Sanders' campaign, say credible sources), so Sanders had more COUNTY delegates there, so people thought this would flip 2 pledged delegates to him AT THE STATE CONVENTION TODAY. However, today more Clinton state delegates showed up, so she got those 2 pledged delegates back

May 11, 2016

Breaking news: FEC 639 pages of Sanders "excessive, prohibited, and impermissible contributions".

The FEC just issued Bernie Sanders' campaign 639 pages of apparent "excessive, prohibited, and impermissible contributions" for April 2016

http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/847/201605100300045847/201605100300045847.pdf

May 11, 2016

Nate Silver rips Trump-Clinton polls in 8-part Twitter rant

Nate Silver thinks it's time to pump the brakes on predicting the results of a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton matchup in November.

"For f--k's sake, America. You're going to make go on a rant about general election polls -- in May?" the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight wrote as part of a tweetstorm on Tuesday.

Silver said Clinton has an about 6 percent lead over Trump nationally, but cautioned: "It's early. Trump could win. Also, he could lose in a landslide." He added that Trump's presumptive nomination and Clinton's ongoing battle with Bernie Sanders could be having an effect — "We'll know more in June."

The statistician said he wouldn't have polls of each state for "a few months."

He also warned his followers to check whether pollsters interview likely voters or registered voters.

"The election will go through a lot of twists and turns, and polls are noisy. Don't sweat individual polls or short-term fluctuations," Silver tweeted.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/nate-silver-trump-clinton-polls-223015

May 10, 2016

Sorry, Bernie fans. His health care plan is short $17,000,000,000,000

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Sen. Bernie Sanders has proposed paying for his proposals to transform large sectors of the government and the economy mainly through increased taxes on wealthy Americans. A pair of new studies published Monday suggests Sanders would not come up with enough money using this approach, and that the poor and the middle class would have to pay more than Sanders has projected in order to fund his ideas.

The studies, published jointly by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center and the Urban Institute in Washington, concludes that Sanders's plans are short a total of more than $18 trillion over a decade. His programs would cost the federal government about $33 trillion over that period, almost all of which would go toward Sanders's proposed system of national health insurance. Yet the Democratic presidential candidate has put forward just $15 trillion in new taxes, the authors concluded.

In principle, national health insurance could make many families better off overall, without imposing unsustainable burdens on the federal budget. For the system to work in terms of dollars and cents, though, the benefits would have to be less generous than they are in the system Sanders has proposed, or the taxes would have to be more onerous for the middle class, as they are in many European countries.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/05/09/the-17-trillion-problem-with-bernie-sanderss-health-care-plan-2/

No suprise there.

May 7, 2016

Only 2 % of $383 million on campaign TV ads, was anti Sanders ads - and his name briefly mentioned

As The Huffington Post reported in mid-April, of the roughly $383 million spent on campaign television advertising in 2016, only about 2 percent was on anti-Sanders ads, much of which just briefly mentioned his name or featured his image.

People are pointing to his general election numbers as being stronger than Clinton’s, and that’s largely a byproduct of the fact he hasn’t seen incoming fire,” said Brendan Nyhan, a political science professor at Dartmouth College and a columnist for The New York Times.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-election_us_572cae72e4b016f378957726

May 5, 2016