JoanofArgh
JoanofArgh's JournalSome interesting updates from Dave Wasserman
https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1324182358828961794?s=21https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1324211037558743040?s=21
https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1324218581115166722?s=21
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https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1324192510651043840?s=21
https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1324181017146630146?s=21
Republicans defy expectations in the battle for Congress- Why
Going into Election Day, polling showed multiple House and Senate races within the margin of error. Many of those races broke in Republicans favor, and there are different theories about why. Its possible that polls failed to pick up on enthusiasm for Trump and the resulting surge of Republicans who turned out to the polls on Tuesday. Multiple campaign strategists said that there would have to be a reckoning in the polling industry, with public and private polling misreading support for Trump nationally and in battleground House and Senate races.
The polling was off in 2016 and was pretty spot on in 2018 and was off again in 2020, and the constant here is Trump, said Joshua Karp, a Democratic consultant. He is doing something under the surface level of the electorate that pundits, pollsters, media observers, Republicans and Democrats all are not seeing.
The results in hotly contested Senate races largely reflected the presidential results in each state. Trump prevailed in several states he won in 2016, including in Iowa and Montana, where GOP Sens. Joni Ernst and Steve Daines fended off Democratic challengers. But in Arizona, where Biden defeated Trump, Democrat Mark Kelly also defeated GOP Sen. Martha McSally.
Some Democrats were questioning Wednesday why they didnt manage to flip GOP House seats in suburban areas where Biden had appeared to be doing well. Its possible those polls were just way off. Its also possible that voters split their tickets, registering their disapproval of Trump by voting for Biden, but then voting for down-ballot Republicans. A similar dynamic developed in 2016, when Hillary Clinton carried 25 House districts that Republicans also won.
https://rollcall.com/2020/11/04/republicans-defy-expectations-in-the-battle-for-congress/?ref=com.devaary.cqrc.rollcall.v01
How on brand is this?
https://twitter.com/Stonekettle/status/1324135827040075776?s=20Abigail Spanberger won re-election to the House and Wasserman on MI/PA/WI
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324133386315829250?s=20https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324131302178725888?s=20
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324109451150954497?s=20
Trump sounds like he's given up
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324130551234727936?s=20Biden/Harris Presidential transition website
https://buildbackbetter.com/The American people will determine who will serve as the next President of the United States. Votes are still being counted in several states around the country. The crises facing the country are severe from a pandemic to an economic recession, climate change to racial injustice and the transition team will continue preparing at full speed so that the Biden‑Harris Administration can hit the ground running on Day One.
Trump campaign has given up on Wisconsin recount
https://twitter.com/KremlinTrolls/status/1324120784361672713?s=20The White House just called a lid. Trump's heading for his bunker
https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1324116138763128842?s=20It's the ballgame , folks!!!!
https://twitter.com/BresPolitico/status/1324098012172439552?s=20Not officially yet, but you know...
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Gender: FemaleHome country: USA
Current location: Charlotte, NC
Member since: Fri Sep 14, 2012, 01:15 AM
Number of posts: 14,971