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Capt. Obvious

Capt. Obvious's Journal
Capt. Obvious's Journal
November 20, 2015

I just did a little digging on this youth caucus

It actually has surprisingly accurate predictions for the following caucuses and elections.

Mock results

2014 results

Feel good about this Sanders supporters.

August 25, 2015

Thanks to Nate Silver I just took a trip down memory lane with Peggy Noonan

....

But to the election. Who knows what to make of the weighting of the polls and the assumptions as to who will vote? Who knows the depth and breadth of each party’s turnout efforts? Among the wisest words spoken this cycle were by John Dickerson of CBS News and Slate, who said, in a conversation the night before the last presidential debate, that he thought maybe the American people were quietly cooking something up, something we don’t know about.

I think they are and I think it’s this: a Romney win.

Romney’s crowds are building—28,000 in Morrisville, Pa., last night; 30,000 in West Chester, Ohio, Friday It isn’t only a triumph of advance planning: People came, they got through security and waited for hours in the cold. His rallies look like rallies now, not enactments. In some new way he’s caught his stride. He looks happy and grateful. His closing speech has been positive, future-looking, sweetly patriotic. His closing ads are sharp—the one about what’s going on at the rallies is moving.

....

There is no denying the Republicans have the passion now, the enthusiasm. The Democrats do not. Independents are breaking for Romney. And there’s the thing about the yard signs. In Florida a few weeks ago I saw Romney signs, not Obama ones. From Ohio I hear the same. From tony Northwest Washington, D.C., I hear the same.

Is it possible this whole thing is playing out before our eyes and we’re not really noticing because we’re too busy looking at data on paper instead of what’s in front of us? Maybe that’s the real distortion of the polls this year: They left us discounting the world around us.

....

I suspect both Romney and Obama have a sense of what’s coming, and it’s part of why Romney looks so peaceful and Obama so roiled.

....

Maybe that’s what the coming Romney moment is about: independents, conservatives, Republicans, even some Democrats, thinking: We can turn it around, we can work together, we can right this thing, and he can help.

LOL


Three year old Schadenfreude still tastes delicious.

Nate snarkily called someone Peggy Noonan and linked to this memorable piece.

June 8, 2015

And when they get hidden

it spawns the Watch Your Back threads in said groups where the protected community commiserates over the unfair stalking by enemies as well as trading tips on how to avoid juries stacked by your enemies as well as increasing your chances at getting called for an enemy's jury.

April 28, 2015

Election candidate wants gay people jailed, adultery made illegal and rock bands outlawed

An election candidate who wants rock music banned, gay people jailed and feminism abolished has rejected claims she is extreme.

....

The devout Christian says her campaign will focus on moral issues including society's "dangerous" homosexual agenda.

She also wants to outlaw rock music, saying it fuels sexual anarchy and drug use.

....

"I don't consider myself extreme - not at all," she said. "It is society that has moved. Not so far in the past, most people would have shared my views.

"My views only seem extreme because society has moved away from God's principles."

....

Mrs White said she opposes feminism "with all her might", and says it is to blame for the recession.

"Feminism is responsible for many of the social ills we see all around us," she added.
"They [feminists] are responsible for the economy - they destroyed the whole concept of a family wage with the father as the bread-winner and the stay-at-home mother. They make women feel they have to be out in the workforce."

Mrs White is also "absolutely opposed to the homosexual agenda" in today's society. If I had the power, I would certainly re-criminalise homosexuality, along with adultery," she added.

She said anyone involved in homosexual or adulterous practices should be jailed.

More


March 2, 2015

Do you think Hillary Clinton is going to run?

All of the teeth gnashing on this site over her potential candidacy and she has not yet declared, and as far as I know started the obligatory exploratory committee.

Is it just accepted wisdom that she's in?

I'm going to plant my flag here: I don't think she will be the Democratic nominee next year but unlike others, I think she will not be the nominee because she will not run.

February 25, 2015

CPAC Website Apparently Mixed Up Two Black Republicans



The website for the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) appeared to have mistakenly posted a photo of Sen. Tim Scott (R-NC) in a biography for conservative activist Dr. Ben Carson, both of whom are scheduled to be speakers at the event this week.

A screengrab of the mixup tweeted by Washington Post reporter Ben Terris on Wednesday morning showed that, at least on the CPAC mobile site, Carson's entry displayed Scott's portrait.

TPM


All black conservatives look alike apparently.
April 4, 2014

Re: Firefighters

Star Member lumberjack_jeff (27,836 posts)
43. a) you have no idea.

b) I've also never had a job in which I'm paid to sleep.
January 8, 2014

Interesing

Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: South Coast, Ma
Member since: Wed Apr 11, 2012, 01:53 PM
Number of posts: 9,002
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