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Douglas Carpenter

Douglas Carpenter's Journal
Douglas Carpenter's Journal
November 11, 2012

Angry tea party activists say Mitt Romney was too moderate and the GOP undermined 'true conservative

Tea party activists blame losses on Republican establishment

But for conservatives who identify with the tea party, one emotion seemed to dominate all others: a white-hot anger at the Republican establishment. Tea party supporters are angry at the GOP for embracing as its presidential nominee a "moderate" like Romney. For undermining "true conservative" candidates. And for "choosing to ignore" the conservative agenda.

Wednesday, the political direct-mail pioneer Richard Viguerie gathered a group of disenchanted conservatives for a news conference in Washington. Calling Romney's loss "the death rattle" of the GOP, Viguerie, chairman of ConservativeHQ.com, said, "The battle to take over the Republican Party begins today."

He called upon the Republican leadership to resign for its part in the "epic election failure of 2012." That includes Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, who has not announced whether he will run for the post again, House Speaker John A. Boehner of Ohio and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.

Still, most of the 55 House tea party caucus members who ran for reelection Tuesday will return to their seats, guaranteeing that the group's influence will continue to be felt in Congress. Two high-profile members were turned out of office — Allen West of Florida and Joe Walsh of Illinois. But tea party caucus founder Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota kept her job, if barely.

"The very people who keep nominating moderates now call us purists, the way the left calls us purists," Levin said Wednesday. "And we have to hear this crap from pseudo-conservatives and Republicans."

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-tea-party-20121111,0,4516315.story


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November 11, 2012

New York Times: Christian Right Failed to Sway Voters on Issues

Christian Right Failed to Sway Voters on Issues

by LAURIE GOODSTEIN

Published: November 9, 2012

It is not as though they did not put up a fight; they went all out as never before: The Rev. Billy Graham dropped any pretense of nonpartisanship and all but endorsed Mitt Romney for president. Roman Catholic bishops denounced President Obama’s policies as a threat to life, religious liberty and the traditional nuclear family. Ralph Reed’s Faith and Freedom Coalition distributed more voter guides in churches and contacted more homes by mail and phone than ever before.

“Millions of American evangelicals are absolutely shocked by not just the presidential election, but by the entire avalanche of results that came in,” R. Albert Mohler Jr., president of the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, in Louisville, Ky., said in an interview. “It’s not that our message — we think abortion is wrong, we think same-sex marriage is wrong — didn’t get out. It did get out. “It’s that the entire moral landscape has changed,” he said. “An increasingly secularized America understands our positions, and has rejected them

However, they acknowledge that they are losing ground. The evangelical share of the population is both declining and graying, studies show. Large churches like the Southern Baptist Convention and the Assemblies of God, which have provided an organizing base for the Christian right, are losing members. “In the long run, this means that the Republican constituency is going to be shrinking on the religious end as well as the ethnic end,” said James L. Guth, a professor of political science at Furman University in Greenville, S.C

Meanwhile, religious liberals are gradually becoming more visible. Liberal clergy members spoke out in support of same-sex marriage, and one group ran ads praising Mr. Obama’s health care plan for insuring the poor and the sick. In a development that highlighted the diversity within the Catholic Church, the “Nuns on the Bus” drove through the Midwest warning that the budget proposed by Representative Paul D. Ryan, the Republican vice-presidential nominee, would cut the social safety net.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/us/politics/christian-conservatives-failed-to-sway-voters.html?src=me&ref=general

November 9, 2012

Why both American Jews and Muslims backed Obama by huge margins

Posted at 06:17 PM ET, 11/09/2012 Nov 09, 2012 11:17 PM EST

TheWashingtonPost Why American Jews and Muslims backed Obama by huge margins

By Marc Schneier and Shamsi Ali


What do these similar vote totals in support of President Obama say about our two communities? First, the results show that majorities of American Jews and American Muslims support President Obama’s vision of an inclusive society where people of all ethnic and religious backgrounds have a chance to succeed. Jews and Muslims alike embrace the vision the president has articulated that “we are all in this together” and that government—as well as religious communities--should be ready and willing to extend a helping hand to members of our society in desperate need.

There is, however, a second reason for the overwhelming support for Obama among American Jews and Muslims; namely that both communities strongly reject the anti-Muslim rhetoric articulated by prominent Republicans during the past several years. For example, national Republican leaders shamelessly demagogued the bogus “Ground Zero mosque” controversy of 2010 and held congressional hearings in 2011 based on the false claim that 80 percent of American mosques support Islamic radicalism. This year some Republican congressional leaders also claimed the Muslim Brotherhood had infiltrated the U.S. State Department, while Republican-controlled legislatures in states such as Oklahoma and Kansas passed wholly unnecessary and unconstitutional bans on sharia (Islamic) law.

Despite loud and well-funded efforts to enlist the Jewish community in the Islamophobia campaign of recent years, the majority of American Jews have emphatically rejected it. They have done so because they view demonizing adherents of another faith as contrary to basic Jewish moral values of tolerance and compassion and a violation of Biblical injunctions such as “welcome the stranger.” Also, retaining a searing historical memory of having endured centuries of anti-Semitism which culminated in the Holocaust, Jews feel in their kishkes (guts) that if another religious or ethnic group is attacked today, they themselves may be targeted tomorrow.

Over the past five years, the two of us have successfully brought together Muslims and Jews in North America and Europe as part of a long term effort to build a movement of Muslims and Jews committed to communication, reconciliation and cooperation. We are hopeful in the wake of President Obama’s electoral victory that, after some dark days, America’s celebration of racial, ethnic and religious diversity is reasserting itself. That is a development from which both of our communities can take heart and celebrate together.

Rabbi Marc Schneier, who is president of the Foundation for Ethnic Understanding, delivered a benediction at the 2008 Democratic National Convention. Imam Shamsi Ali is imam of the Jamaica Muslim Center in Queens, the largest mosque in New York. Schneier and Ali have coauthored a forthcoming book, “Sons of Abraham,” about their friendship and Muslim-Jewish coexistence.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/guest-voices/post/why-american-jews-and-muslims-backed-obama-by-huge-margins/2012/11/09/70a671c6-2ac0-11e2-bab2-eda299503684_blog.html

November 9, 2012

In 2004 did you know that John Kerry might very well lose to Bush?

I ask this because it appears most Republicans from the grassroots up to the Senior most advisers and Romney and Ryan themselves were and still are in a state of shock that they lost. It confounds me that they didn't even seem to have anticipated the possibility of losing - even though the polls, the non-partisan statisticians, the financial derivative markets and just about everyone else saw Obama as having a strong advantage.

IN 2004 the consensus of expert opinion really did see it as a toss-up. But a toss-up of course means that we might lose and the other side might win.

November 9, 2012

Kids react to election 2012

November 7, 2012

from Unskewed Polls: Final Projection:and election day exit polling Romney 52.58 / Obama 47.14

Released November 6, 2012

QStarNews Election Day Exit Poll

4600 voters surveyed with a margin of error of 1.44 percent. All voters were surveyed via a web-based survey.

The swing states included in this survey are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Questions and results as asked of likely voters in all states:

If the election today, did you vote for the ticket of Democratic candidates, President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden, or the ticket of Republican candidates, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Congressman Paul Ryan?

Romney/Ryan 52.58

Obama/Biden 47.14

Other 0.28



Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's performance as president?

Somewhat Approve 17.67

Strongly Approve 29.52

Strongly Disapprove 46.86

Somewhat Disapprove 6.42



Overall Approval and Disapproval

Approve 47.17

Disapprove 52.8


http://unskewedpolls.com/qstarnews_exit_poll_2012.cfm
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The QStarNews projection of the 2012 presidential race sees Mitt Romney being elected the next president of the United States with 50.67 percent of the popular vote and 275 electoral votes to President Obama's 48.88 percent and 263 electoral votes.

QStarNews predicts the turnout nationally will includes 36.4 percent Democrats, 36.1 Republicans and 27.5 percent independents. QStarNews predicts turnout will rise by about four percent, or a total of about 131,165,384 voters including about 600,000 for third party candidates and the rest going to Romney and Obama.

Methodology: For EACH state, all of the following information was considered: results from the last four elections averaged together, recent political trends in that state (such as Republicans winning control of both houses of the state legislature in 2010 in Maine and New Hampshire), recent trends in demographic makeup that affect the politics of the state (such as the growth of hispanics in Colorado causing the Democratic Party to become more competitive), and the degree to which one or both of the major campaigns are targetting that state, such as both campaigns making Ohio the most important state and campaigning there more than any other state, and any other relevant political factors and data such as public polls from a variety of pollling firms, as well as data from the QStarNews polls of the presidential race. From all of this information a percentage breakdown of each state is calculated between Romney and Obama. This projection is expected to be spot-on accurate for predicting the outcome in all 50 states and the District of Columbia and close to the actual popular vote.

http://unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_03.cfm
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November 6, 2012

Paul Ryan Says Obama Would Compromise 'Judeo-Christian Western Civilization Values'

http://l.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/LjVZlBm7fvO4O7RscgbqAQ--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7Y2g9MzI2NDtjcj0xO2N3PTQ4OTY7ZHg9MDtkeT0wO2ZpPXVsY3JvcDtoPTQyMDtxPTg1O3c9NjMw/
Associated Press/Mary Altaffer - Republican vice presidential candidate, Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., gestures as he speaks during a campaign event at the Douglas County Fairgrounds, Sunday, Nov. 4, 2012, in Castle



CASTLE ROCK, Colo. -Paul Ryan squeezed in time on a four-stop, five-state day for a conference call with evangelical voters Sunday evening, issuing a warning about a second Obama term saying the president is putting the country on a "dangerous path" that compromises "Judeo-Christian, Western civilization values."

Evangelical leader Ralph Reed's influential group, the Faith and Freedom Coalition, hosted the call and Reed said "tens of thousands" of Evangelical Christians were listening in.

The GOP vice presidential nominee said in the "critical battleground states" it will make a "big difference" if people "are worried about…whether or not we're going to go down the path the president has put us on."

"It's a dangerous path," Ryan said on his opening remarks on the call, which has been rescheduled at least once. "It's a path that grows government, restricts freedom and liberty, and compromises those values, those Judeo-Christian, Western civilization values that made us such a great an exceptional nation in the first place."

http://news.yahoo.com/paul-ryan-says-obama-compromise-judeo-christian-western-045635969--abc-news-politics.html;_ylt=AsdVIfORiq5mhRLgT8KDc9fNt.d_;_ylu=X3oDMTNrOTA3Y3BzBGNjb2RlA2N0LmMEbWl0AwRwa2cDYTczYTg1YWYtMWY0YS0zY2Y5LTg5ZTAtMjA5Yzk4YzNkZDRmBHBvcwMyBHNlYwNmYmFyLWZlYQR2ZXIDNzMyZjhlYjMtMjczNi0xMWUyLTlmZDctNzdlMDU5ZWQ2Y2E3;_ylg=X3oDMTFicWoybGI3BHBzdGFpZAM3ZWYxOTA1ZS0wNDNkLTNkY2QtOTIyMy1mOWMxMTczZDA4ZjA-;_ylv=3

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Gender: Male
Hometown: Corry (Erie County), Pennsylvania 16407
Home country: USA
Current location: Saipan, U.S. Commonweath of the Northern Mariana Islands
Member since: Wed Jun 1, 2005, 08:56 PM
Number of posts: 20,226
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