July 6, 2019

In its 29 months, the Trump economy has created 810,000 FEWER jobs than Obama's last 29 months

and the pace of job creation has markedly slowed in 2019 ...

Summary: Average monthly net new jobs created
221,000    Obama's last 29 months
194,000    Trump's 29 months (February 2017 through June 2019)
172,000    2019 so far (January through June)
144,000    February through June 2019

From G_j: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100212250349

which links to: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2019/07/05/trump-is-falling-almost-1-million-jobs-short-vs-obama

Comparing Trump's 29 months with Obama's last 29 months

Yes, there's been quite a slowdown so far this year (the 6 months January through June), just 172,000 per month average, compared to 223,000 per month average in all of 2018.

For the 5 months February through June of 2019, it's been only 144,000 per month average.

Job numbers:

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001

Monthly changes: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001?output_view=net_1mth

Edited to add:

And yes yes, the unemployment rate is at about 50 year lows, but note that the prime age (25-54) labor force participation rate is below the pre-Great Recession average, going back to about 1987.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=12256909

July 2, 2019

Earlier snapshots of the Current Candidate Rankings page from archive.org

in case you think something looks different than the previous time you looked at it, but aren't sure what. Something to get an idea of DU poll movements in between EarlG's excellent reports

The below URL shows a calendar of all the snapshots. Scroll down a little ways to the calendar with the shaded blue dots - these are dates you can click on to see the snapshot on that date.

Unfortunately, DU software breaks the below URL into 2 pieces. You will have to copy the entire line below and paste it into your browser's Address bar:

https://web.archive.org/web/*/https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=candidates

This one is the June 26 snapshot (simply clicking on it works) :

https://web.archive.org/web/20190626102126/https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=candidates

I did a snapshot of June 26 (10:21 am, before the first debate) and then writing down what I see today, July 1

Below is the June 26 order. The July 1 order is the same except that Buttigieg and Sanders have switched places. Sorry, just doing the first 7. The rest are 1% and less.

6/26 7/1
16    17  Warren
14    13  Biden
10    10  Harris
 8      7  Buttigieg (now 5th place)
 8      8  Sanders (now 4th place)
 2      2  O'Rourke
 2      2  Inslee

Edited to clarify the shapshot URLs

Edited to add a pointer to EarlG's latest report, posted in this Democratic Primaries Forum on June 28:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287175749

so as to see the trends back to the beginning and see the 1 percenters too.

April 15, 2019

Omar reports more death threats against her since Trump tweet

Source: AP

Rep. Ilhan Omar says she's faced increased death threats since President Trump spread around a video that purports to show her being dismissive of the 2001 terrorist attacks.

"This is endangering lives," the Minnesota Democrat said in a statement Sunday night, accusing Trump of fomenting right-wing extremism. "It has to stop."

Her statement followed an announcement by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that she has taken steps to ensure the safety of Omar, and the speaker's call for Trump to take down the video.

Soon after Pelosi's statement, the video disappeared as a pinned tweet at the top of Trump's Twitter feed, but it was not deleted.


Read more: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2019/04/14/pelosi-trump-tweet-omar-video

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"Updated: 10:05 p.m. Posted: 7:45 p.m." (Central Time)

Later in the article, she said "a sharp increase" in threats on her life.

It's an MPRNews link, but the top of the story says it is an Associated Press story.

I'm blanking out, but I've been trying to think all day of the last time some congress person (representative or senator) was ever this much targeted with death threats and hostility. I can't think of anything like this in my 60+ year lifetime, but perhaps there was something like this in the darkest part of the civil right struggle. Before that, probably in the lead-up to the civil war. But like I say, I probably have a blank spot.

I'm leaving aside congress people who were running for president, I'm sure Bobby Kennedy also had a ton of death threats (and assassinated).

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Edited to add: she's my congresswoman. So I've kind of felt under attack too, sort of a siege mentality on my part, watching all this day after day for, what, 3 months now.