Roland99
Roland99's Journal#Karma - Four years ago - to the day!
https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/782673397952094208trump mocked Sec Clinton for having pneumonia
Has anyone seen any pillows filled with oleander arriving at the WH today?
Asking for a friend
MoscowMitch expressed his relief that SCOTUS nomination will continue on
https://twitter.com/senatemajldr/status/1312042678217998338@POTUS
. Hes in good spirits and we talked business especially how impressed Senators are with the qualifications of Judge Barrett. Full steam ahead with the fair, thorough, timely process that the nominee, the Court, & the country deserve.
what a monster
F*ck!! One my closest friends at work just got 'the call'. He's laid off
Fucking narcissistic asshole in the WH (and his sycophant here in FL) largely ignoring this virus has destroyed the loves and livelihoods of millions!
OMG! This will go to 11. Spinal Tap to reunite for Dems in PA!!
https://www.spin.com/2020/10/spinal-tap-to-reunite-for-democrats-in-pennsylvania-fundraiser/https://twitter.com/robreiner/status/1311829805671751681
Donate any amount to see the live Spinal Tap Cast Reunion.
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/spinaltap
This one-time LIVE event is only streaming Wednesday, October 14th, and every dollar raised goes directly towards ending Trumpism by winning Pennsylvania.
MOST PEOPLE ARE CHIPPING IN $20.20. Add your donation now for your link to the livestream on 10/14!
"I like Presidents that don't get Covid"
My wife just yelled at me from the bedroom...
Her: Do you ever get a shooting pain across your body? Like someones got a voodoo doll of you and theyre stabbing it!
Me: Uh. No.
Her: How about now?
COVID-19 - This Overlooked Variable Is the Key to the Pandemic
Wonderful article discussing how and why Covid has caused mass infections in some locations and not others. Appears more related to super-spreader events from more densely-populated areas or extended time in gatherings in small, enclosed locations (bars, clubs, nursing facilities, restaurants)
This would make sense here in theme park central where guests are largely outdoors or in very large ride buildings (for a rather short amount of time) and are physically distanced and no spike in cases traced back to any of them
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/
...
By now many people have heard about R0the basic reproductive number of a pathogen, a measure of its contagiousness on average. But unless youve been reading scientific journals, youre less likely to have encountered k, the measure of its dispersion. The definition of k is a mouthful, but its simply a way of asking whether a virus spreads in a steady manner or in big bursts, whereby one person infects many, all at once. After nine months of collecting epidemiological data, we know that this is an overdispersed pathogen, meaning that it tends to spread in clusters, but this knowledge has not yet fully entered our way of thinking about the pandemicor our preventive practices.
...
There are COVID-19 incidents in which a single person likely infected 80 percent or more of the people in the room in just a few hours. But, at other times, COVID-19 can be surprisingly much less contagious. Overdispersion and super-spreading of this virus are found in research across the globe. A growing number of studies estimate that a majority of infected people may not infect a single other person. A recent paper found that in Hong Kong, which had extensive testing and contact tracing, about 19 percent of cases were responsible for 80 percent of transmission, while 69 percent of cases did not infect another person. This finding is not rare: Multiple studies from the beginning have suggested that as few as 10 to 20 percent of infected people may be responsible for as much as 80 to 90 percent of transmission, and that many people barely transmit it.
This highly skewed, imbalanced distribution means that an early run of bad luck with a few super-spreading events, or clusters, can produce dramatically different outcomes even for otherwise similar countries. Scientists looked globally at known early-introduction events, in which an infected person comes into a country, and found that in some places, such imported cases led to no deaths or known infections, while in others, they sparked sizable outbreaks. Using genomic analysis, researchers in New Zealand looked at more than half the confirmed cases in the country and found a staggering 277 separate introductions in the early months, but also that only 19 percent of introductions led to more than one additional case. A recent review shows that this may even be true in congregate living spaces, such as nursing homes, and that multiple introductions may be necessary before an outbreak takes off. Meanwhile, in Daegu, South Korea, just one woman, dubbed Patient 31, generated more than 5,000 known cases in a megachurch cluster.
Profile Information
Gender: MaleHometown: Louisville, KY
Current location: Central FL
Member since: Thu Sep 16, 2004, 02:03 PM
Number of posts: 53,342