Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumMy prediction: the most likely candidate will be known after Super Tuesday.
SO many delegates will have been picked by that time it will be hard to play catch-up
My prediction for the final 5 are (not in order):
Biden
Harris
Sanders
Buttigieg
O'rourke
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
zipplewrath
(16,646 posts)For so many reasons.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
murielm99
(30,656 posts)Biden and Bernie are too old. I am seventy, and I think this job is for younger people.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,410 posts)But name recognition is always hard to beat, so Sanders & Biden have the most of that. And so many votes cast early just dont give enough time for the lesser knowns to get noticed. I know warren has been around, but I think Harris & sanders steal her thunder.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Renew Deal
(81,802 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
louis c
(8,652 posts)If a person on this site said they couldn't vote for Warren because she's a woman, or Booker because he's black, or your guy because of his sexual preference, we'd be alerted, sanctioned and our posting rights suspended.
Why do you think your bigoted, offensive statement is OK?
Age Discrimination & Work Situations
<snip>The law prohibits discrimination in any aspect of employment, including hiring, firing, pay, job assignments, promotions, layoff, training, benefits, and any other term or condition of employment.<snip>
https://www.eeoc.gov/laws/types/age.cfm
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kaleva
(36,146 posts)If either wins the nomination, I'll gladly support and vote for them but not in the primary.
DU does not operate under the rules you cited. Here's a link to the TOS which you agreed to abide by:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=termsofservice
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
earthside
(6,960 posts)Age is something that happens ... and it affects individuals differently.
It is legitimately within our prerogative as voters to make a determination about how age and experience contribute to how a candidate for President might do her or his job. We will see by how they perform in the next few months if Biden and Bernie are up to the job at their advanced years -- just as we can decide if Buttigieg is too young and inexperienced.
An 80 year old Walmart greeter is no risk to national security; a president like Reagan descending into Alzheimer's disease is a risk to national security.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
louis c
(8,652 posts)...let me know how smart it is to piss off older voters. Oh, by the way. Do you think Ruth Bader Ginsburg should resign and allow Trump to pick a younger Justice? Just asking.
http://www.electproject.org/home/voter-turnout/demographics
Maybe you can start your own site: How to lose elections
And this:
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
earthside
(6,960 posts)I'm in my 60s ... I can't imagine being close to 80 and trying to run the country.
Indeed, most of the older folks I know are quite insistent that the biggest job in the world needs a person more in the Obama range to tackle this position. Trump has got to go no matter who is the Democratic nominee -- but no one sensible really thinks that just because one believes Biden or Sanders is too old that that is going piss off old people.
And being on the Supreme Court is not the same as being president. And ... I am old enough to remember when a hero of mine, Justice William O. Douglas, refused to leave the Supreme Court even when he was incapacitated -- it hurt his reputation.
You know you can be for Biden without having a chip on your shoulder about his age.
And how about this for a web site: don't stereotype older voters.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
louis c
(8,652 posts)A black person doesn't necessarily vote for the Black candidate. But just say that you can't vote for a candidate because he or she is black and that you are representing the Democratic position and see where that gets you.
Saying that 70 is too old to serve as president is a bigoted thing to say.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kaleva
(36,146 posts)It doesn't
Senior voters, especially white senior voters, tend to be more conservative and vote Republican.
"Since well before Donald Trumps candidacy, significant majorities of 50-plus whites have favored Republican presidential candidates. They have been a major reason for that partys control of a substantial majority of statehouses and governors mansions, and because they constitute a significant percentage of the voters in states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, they pose a roadblock on a Democratic presidential candidates route to the Electoral College."
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/12/opinion/democrats-republicans-senior-voters-aarp-.html
"Older voters (ages 65 and older) preferred Trump over Clinton 53%-45%. This is roughly the same advantage for the Republican candidate as in 2012 when older voters backed Romney over Obama 56%-44%."
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/behind-trumps-victory-divisions-by-race-gender-education/
"The GOP edge among seniors is not as pronounced as is the Democratic edge among young Americans, and at no point across the entire age spectrum do Republicans enjoy a double-digit party identification advantage. However, seniors are the most likely to turn out and vote in elections, meaning the modest Republican advantage among older Americans translates into disproportionate power at the ballot box."
https://news.gallup.com/poll/172439/party-identification-varies-widely-across-age-spectrum.aspx
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
louis c
(8,652 posts)...and they are getable and Biden can get them.
Then we don't have tp rely on undependable voters who don't turn out or vote 3rd party.
The strongest ticket in this election is Biden-Harris. Can another ticket win? Of course they can, but the strongest, in my opinion, is Biden-Harris.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kaleva
(36,146 posts)I' prefer Harris to win the nomination but I'd gladly vote for Biden if he were to be our nominee.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,410 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)You may be right or You may be wrong.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Funtatlaguy
(10,856 posts)It will definitely winnow the field
If I had to pick 5, Id swap out Warren for Beto from the OP picks.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,410 posts)I went with him because of the 'fresh new face" factor, but i think she would do better long term. I dont think he can handle a nationwide Anti-O'Rourke campaign as well as Warren could
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
oldsoftie
(12,410 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Once they are done, only 4 large population states remain (New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Michigan)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden