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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:43 PM

 

Youth isn't turning out and that's bad for Democrats

Youth vote is terrible disappointing so far per MSNBC. Never ever put your faith you people voting.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply Youth isn't turning out and that's bad for Democrats (Original post)
evertonfc Mar 2020 OP
bearsfootball516 Mar 2020 #1
zackymilly Mar 2020 #2
DonaldsRump Mar 2020 #3
stopbush Mar 2020 #5
Mendocino Mar 2020 #10
rufus dog Mar 2020 #4
brush Mar 2020 #6
LAS14 Mar 2020 #7
Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #8
BlueIdaho Mar 2020 #9
TwilightZone Mar 2020 #11
Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #14
LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #12
SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #13
brooklynite Mar 2020 #15

Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:44 PM

1. Historically, the youth has never turned out.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:46 PM

2. The youth love to come out and rally and party, but not much excitement in voting. n/t

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:48 PM

3. They will come out in November

 

No way that any young person I know will allow Trump to "win".
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to DonaldsRump (Reply #3)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:55 PM

5. No they won't. But that's OK as we'll win without them.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to DonaldsRump (Reply #3)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:05 PM

10. They may come out for presidental

 

runs, but not so much for off year elections. Remember the 2010 elections, Obama described the turnout as a "shellacking". The wars are won in the trenches.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:48 PM

4. Help with the logic

 

A vote that hasn't turned out and isn't turning out again is bad for Democrats?

I know Maddow made the claim, but it is equivalent to saying I never went out on a date with Angelina Jolie and she still won't go out with me!

We need to face reality, Angelina Jolie isn't going on a date with me and the youth vote can't be counted on to take us over the top.

On edit, and to be clear. This does not mean that Jameela Jamil won't go on a date with me. Gotta have hope!

Jameela, if you are a DU member, PM me, I am a bit too old for you, a bit too chunky, but you and I are destined to be together.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to rufus dog (Reply #4)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 08:55 PM

6. Repug youth don't turn out either.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:01 PM

7. Hopefully it's just because they don't care who beats Trump, as long as some Dem does, with..

 

... their help in November.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:02 PM

8. It's not November yet.

 

Maybe, with the right campaign outreach by Biden, they’ll come out to oust Trump. He’s not popular at all among the young. If they do show up, Trump will be toast.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:05 PM

9. The good news?

 

The most reliable voting demographics are out in droves for Democrats.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:14 PM

11. They turned out in higher numbers in the 2018 GE, curiously enough.

 

One of the theories is that they'll show up in the general. Hope so.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to TwilightZone (Reply #11)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:28 PM

14. Youth vote drops about 6% in midterms in overall percentage

 

This stuff does not change. Don't let Rachel Bitecofer or anyone else pretend otherwise. There is no such thing as magical turnout.

The 18-29 crowd is always in the 12-13% of the electorate in midterms and 18-19% of the electorate in presidential years. That's partially why Democrats do not have the midterm upside of Republicans. Even when we have a wave midterm landscape there aren't enough youth or single women showing up to push toward that type of +60 or +75 House seat net that Republicans are capable of during their own wave midterm.

You can assign 18 or 19% right now toward the 2020 youth turnout, in relation to total electorate. The name of our nominee means nothing. The day to day details mean nothing. That's what the percentage is going to be.

The overriding variable is preference.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:15 PM

12. That is not of itself bad.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:23 PM

13. Young people like voting in presidential general elections

 

Believe me, they will show up this fall with the ease of voting and the get out the vote Bloomberg $ will support
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:31 PM

15. No, it's not bad for Democrats...

 

...it means we focus on the voters who DO turn out...which is how we've won before.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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