Today's polls are all devastating for Sen. Sanders. (Real Clear Politics)

[Demsrule86]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/democratic_nomination_polls/

[Thekaspervote]

1. Let's hope the primary "unofficially " comes to an end following Tuesday's vote

[Demsrule86]

10. With numbers like this...it should. The sooner the better.

[Kahuna7]

19. I hope the Democratic voters will give Bernie the message that..

enough is enough. It's time for Democrats to unite and stop the counterproductive attacks that will not help us to beat trump and the republicans.

[Demsrule86]

28. I agree...I want it over.

[hlthe2b]

2. I want Biden to win the nom outright and sufficient delegates to encourage

a graceful dignified detente' between Biden and Bernie Sanders. I really want the latter to be able to claim some sense of victory (compromise negotiated in a policy of similar interest for example) so that there are not these lingering resentments between the two, his campaign or his supporters.

I really want that. I want Sanders to retain his dignity and for it to be a respectful "meeting of the minds"...I hope that is possible. I'm not suggesting it not play out a bit longer, but assuming we do not see some totally unpredicted event that shakes up the entire race once again, I just hope it happens sooner than later.


A girl can dream, can't she?

[Demsrule86]

11. That is what I want also. And I think it could happen.

[William769]

3. Kick & recommended.

[Demsrule86]

12. Thank you.

[Scurrilous]

4. Wisconsin was recently in Bernie's corner.

No more. Looks like unity is breaking out all over.

[Demsrule86]

13. Thank God!

[Scurrilous]

17. Yep.

[Demsrule86]

24. Fired up...

ready to go!

[Scurrilous]

26. Happy and waiting for it to finally end.

[Demsrule86]

29. Fired up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[NoMoreRepugs]

5. How in the world does Gabbard even get her name onto this report?

[Demsrule86]

14. She is still running...I wonder where she gets the money.

[still_one]

6. I hope so. His campaign has turned ugly

[Demsrule86]

15. The campaign has gone scorched earth...retweeting Trump. Lying, distortions...really terrible stuff.

[still_one]

23. Yes, very sad

[Demsrule86]

25. It is sad...as angry as Sanders makes me, I feel bad for him.

[onetexan]

35. I don't feel bad or Bernie. It is a clear rebuke of his democratic socialist platform, and that

after tomorrow he needs to end his divisive and destructive campaign. Seeing those Bernie Bros disrupt Biden's rally in Detroit a few minutes ago was painful to see. Bernie needs to end it quickly and get behind Biden as many of the former candidates have. If he doesn't join in the unity out of spite then everyone will know the real Bernie - that he is only running for himself.

[NurseJackie]

7. Yes indeed. It's not just one "outlier" poll... this shows a very strong TREND!

Bernie and his campaign are being REJECTED by the voters! His so-called "revolution" has failed to materialize. The number of people who attend his rallies DID NOT translate into a similar number of votes (well, not for Bernie anyway!)

[Demsrule86]

18. That is what I think Jackie...one poll who knows but this is all of today's polls...all of them!

Rallies with free music are fun. Actually registering and voting is more like work.

[Jarqui]

8. I looked at RealClear and at 538. This is what March is looking like

March 10
Idaho 20ev Biden No polls but state Democrats unanimously endorsed Biden
Michigan 125ev Biden +22.6%
Mississippi 36ev Biden +55.0%
Missouri 68ev Biden +18.6%
North Dakota 14ev Biden does better head to head against Trump
Washington 89ev Biden +2.0%

March 17
Arizona 67ev Biden +28.0%
Florida 219ev Biden +37.5%
Illinois 155ev Biden +29.0% (538.com)
Ohio 136ev Biden +8.0% (538.com)

March 24
Georgia 105ev Biden +18.5%

National Polls Biden +16.0%

Bernie is only competitive for 123 of 1034 delegates.

He's going to be way behind at the end of March with not enough available delegates to reasonably make up the difference.

[Demsrule86]

20. If he doesn't have 300 delegates...no point in even going to the convention...hopefully he gets out.

The numbers you post are beyond devastating...thanks...

[Scurrilous]

27. Thanks for laying out that path.

[LakeArenal]

9. OMG. Wisconsin. I knew you would go Biden!!

Well, not really, but hey Yay YAY

[Demsrule86]

21. Yay,yay...back at you!

[BidenBacker]

32. That's kinda surprising if it turns out that way

WI is a pretty progressive state...it has many of its roots there. Thought for sure it would be a lot closer than the poll says.

Everybody say..."cheese".

[onetexan]

37. From 538 site

APRIL 7
CONTEST BIDEN SANDERS MARGIN
Wisconsin 49% 48.3% +0.8

They're running neck & neck. Hopefully if race has to continue through 4/7 then hopefully the momentum from tomorrow's win will carry Biden to a win in WI.

[BidenBacker]

38. That looks a lot more like I woulda expected

But if Biden rolls between now and April 7th then those numbers should go up a helluva lot.

[rockfordfile]

16. Don't care for that website. It's a right-wing website.

[Demsrule86]

22. Check out 538 where it is even worse...same polls there you know and Biden has a 98% chance

of winning the nomination.

[BidenBacker]

30. That's news to me

From Wiki...

RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. However, some statisticians say that it is sometimes misleading to average results from multiple polls. When Nate Silver of rival site FiveThirtyEight claimed RealClearPolitics.com was rigging its averages to favor Senator John McCain and other Republicans, McIntyre denied having a conservative bent, stating, "We're running a business. We have no interest in screwing around with that for partisan purposes". Silver later backed away from the claim and said the two sites had a friendly rivalry and grudging respect for each other.

In 2016, Republicans performed 1.7% better than the final RealClearPolitics average, and Republicans performed 3.3% better than the site's average in 2014. In the 2016 presidential election, the final RealClearPolitics average margin overestimated Democrat Hillary Clinton's popular vote performance by 1.3%. The final electoral college prediction map produced by RealClearPolitics predicted that she would narrowly win the election with 272 electoral votes. However, she lost the election to Republican Donald Trump in spite of winning the popular vote. However, the site underestimated the Democratic vote in the 2018 congressional elections by just over one percentage point.

In the past they've underestimated Republican results and have both over and underestimated Democratic ones. Seems pretty legit to me. Not like that Rasmussen hack.

[Happy Hoosier]

31. Right now, the 538 models...

Show Biden is likely to win everywhere tomorrow. Some states are more likely than others, of course.

[BidenBacker]

33. Wow

Biden killing it in Arizona. Bet Commander Kelly is real happy with the recent turn of events.

Martha McSally...not so much. Tough shit, MM...hopefully it's adios for you next January.

[Demsrule86]

34. She is just awful..she and Trump deserve each other.

[BidenBacker]

36. I swear to God

I sent her a very civil email one night begging her to keep an open mind during the impeachment trial. The VERY NEXT MORNING I spot her on TV doing her "you're a liberal hack!" schtick. Later that day I wrote her another email that was not nearly as nice and ripped her a new one. That same night or the next day I donated a few bucks to Mark Kelly...LOL.

Arizona is one of those states that Biden has a very real chance of winning and helping Kelly at the same time. I think had it been Bernie we would probably not only lose the state but have very little chance of flipping a Senate seat either.

Joe may be a real nice twofer here in AZ. Best shot, anyway, and that's all you can ask.

[Demsrule86]

39. I agree with every word you wrote...I heard a story where when they were trying to kill the ACA

she said lets get out there and kill the Obamacare...she doesn't give a damn about people...cold hearted with no empathy whatsoverver. I despise her.

[BidenBacker]

40. Then grab a ticket and go to the end of the "I Hate Martha" line

https://www.salon.com/2020/02/20/support-for-republican-martha-mcsally-plummets-in-arizona-in-wake-of-trumps-impeachment-trial-_partner/

She's in big trouble. Kelly gonna open up a big can of whoopass on her so go find a few other Senate seats to flip blue and don't worry none about AZ.

[tavernier]

41. And no more debates!

That’s just insanity at this point, and provides great tinder for the republicans.