Democratic Primaries

EveHammond13

(2,855 posts) Sun Feb 23, 2020, 02:46 PM Feb 2020

the only polls that matter are the swing states, the critical counties in those swing states

the election is already over in 35 states.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

4 replies

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the only polls that matter are the swing states, the critical counties in those swing states (Original Post) EveHammond13 Feb 2020 OP

Exactly exboyfil Feb 2020 #1

"Whoever wins WI wins the presidency" JudyM Feb 2020 #3

Thanks! I am glad someone actually found the data we are told is so important. jmg257 Feb 2020 #4

Good info - what do we have for results at those places? jmg257 Feb 2020 #2

exboyfil

(17,865 posts)

1. Exactly

Reply to EveHammond13 (Original post)

Sun Feb 23, 2020, 02:54 PM

Feb 2020

National polls are meaningless. Basically whoever wins Wisconsin wins the Presidency.

It would be good to have enough coat tails to drag down ballot as well, but the Presidency is critical and is an easier nut to crack than a Senate majority.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

JudyM

(29,294 posts)

3. "Whoever wins WI wins the presidency"

Reply to exboyfil (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 23, 2020, 04:10 PM

Feb 2020

Well it’s looking from the most recent polls (released today) that we have an advantage if Sanders is our candidate:

YouGov: vs trump, essentially 4-way tie between Liz, Joe, Bernie and Pete, all lead trump by 2 points.
[Most recent available poll that includes Bloomberg is Quinnipiac, with trump beating him by 8 points.]
Bernie leads Dems in WI polling by 17 points

Also, FWIW:
MI and PA YouGov: vs trump, advantage Bernie

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/Wisconsin.html

Electability is not necessarily a valid arg against Sanders, including these swing states; he’s doing as well as, if not better than, any of our other candidates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

jmg257

(11,996 posts)

4. Thanks! I am glad someone actually found the data we are told is so important.

Reply to JudyM (Reply #3)

Sun Feb 23, 2020, 04:18 PM

Feb 2020

Damn if we aren't doing pretty well in many of those states!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

jmg257

(11,996 posts)

2. Good info - what do we have for results at those places?

Reply to EveHammond13 (Original post)

Sun Feb 23, 2020, 02:59 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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