Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBetting markets point to Bernie being most electable.
Bernie now has the best odds of winning the primaries according to betting markets. He's at 43%, to Biden's 31%.
But what's more interesting is what the markets have to say about electability. If you look at the market for president outright, we get
Trump 48
Bernie 30
Biden 13
Which is a remarkably strong show of support for the argument that Bernie is the most electable. What it implies is that if Bernie does win the primary, his chances of going on to beat Trump are 30/43 = 70%. On the other hand, if Biden wins the primary, his chances are then 13/31 = 42%.
So, yeah, all the Never Trump pundits and the centrists on twitter can insist all they want that "Bernie can't win". If they want, they can put their money where their mouth is. Because people who are betting money, instead of writing articles, see Bernie as handily the most electable. No wonder all those Republicans pundits are trying to tell us not to nominate Bernie.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/1/US-Elections
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
tandem5
(2,072 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,128 posts)since now it's Bernie who's the most electable. Thanks Joe for unwittingly making the case for Bernie... I love it!!
Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to InAbLuEsTaTe (Reply #2)
Post removed
ritapria
(1,812 posts)are not afraid Bernie is going to lose, they are afraid Bernie is going to win . If Bernie wins , their gravy train is turned over ...Who would give 2 dimes to Third Way if we elect President Sanders ?...
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,128 posts)NO WAY BERNIE LOSES!! He's the only one who can CRUSH the Shitstain-in-Chief!!
Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DanTex
(20,709 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)throughout the world. More accomplished. Proven leadership. Wide appeal across political spectrum and diverse demographics. Deeper and larger campaign themes and issues. FP cred.
Would never be proud of Joe Rogan endorsement. Gracious and kind personality. Enjoys saying
Happy Birthday. Will never push Jill out of the way. Supports Dem candidates. Champions women.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(146,030 posts)In addition to the well written 101 page memorandum with oppo on sanders with a 1000 pages of backup from the Clinton campaign trump has his own oppo file on sanders that would destroy such a weak and divisive candidate like sanders. Trump had a two foot thick book of oppo research on Sanders http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044
So what would have happened when Sanders hit a real opponent, someone who did not care about alienating the young college voters in his base? I have seen the opposition book assembled by Republicans for Sanders, and it was brutal. The Republicans would have torn him apart. And while Sanders supporters might delude themselves into believing that they could have defended him against all of this, there is a name for politicians who play defense all the time: losers....
The Republicans had at least four other damning Sanders videos (I dont know what they showed), and the opposition research folder was almost 2-feet thick. (The section calling him a communist with connections to Castro alone would have cost him Florida.) In other words, the belief that Sanders would have walked into the White House based on polls taken before anyone really attacked him is a delusion built on a scaffolding of political ignorance.
sanders was such a weak primary candidate that the Clinton campaign did not use its oppo but trump would have fun destroying such a weak candidate like sanders
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Let us know how that goes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)why didn't he just skip the primary bullshit and run as an Independent? Because he's not going to need the party's help...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden