Democratic Primaries

Demsrule86

(68,556 posts) Tue Jan 21, 2020, 03:25 PM Jan 2020

Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination? Spoiler, the answer is Biden. 538 in depth look at who

wins overall and you can set up every state as well. It really is very interesting.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

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Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination? Spoiler, the answer is Biden. 538 in depth look at who (Original Post) Demsrule86 Jan 2020 OP

At this junction in time. Wellstone ruled Jan 2020 #1

This is a good summation. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #3

Hillary certainly doesn't owe him anything. calguy Jan 2020 #5

And that is the real truth. Wellstone ruled Jan 2020 #7

538 gives him a 44% chance of winning the nomination. thesquanderer Jan 2020 #2

When the primary voting gets underway calguy Jan 2020 #6

Link? emmaverybo Jan 2020 #4

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)

1. At this junction in time.

Reply to Demsrule86 (Original post)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 03:34 PM

Jan 2020

You might be right,to many variables and one glaring is what is happening around the Sanders Campaign as of today. If you can not control your Outlier Spokes People,you got a nightmare facing you. Plus today's Hillary commentary carries boat loads of influence .

Going to Warren and Biden whom ends up the mainstay.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BannonsLiver

(16,370 posts)

3. This is a good summation.

Reply to Wellstone ruled (Reply #1)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 03:53 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

calguy

(5,306 posts)

5. Hillary certainly doesn't owe him anything.

Reply to Wellstone ruled (Reply #1)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 05:20 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)

7. And that is the real truth.

Reply to calguy (Reply #5)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 05:50 PM

Jan 2020

Had she wanted this Election cycle,all she needed to do was ask. All those folks whom I worked with in 2016 have all expressed this. If one follows the Polling here in Nevada,which seems to bounce all over the place,our Caucasus is going to be a outlier. Right now it is wide open and the polling is in favor of the two Culinary and State Employee Unions,which btw,do the best as anyone who I have every worked with,to drive the voter turnout ,and as of yesterday,looking like a possible three way result.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

thesquanderer

(11,986 posts)

2. 538 gives him a 44% chance of winning the nomination.

Reply to Demsrule86 (Original post)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 03:49 PM

Jan 2020

So even though he is in the lead, it still means he's more likely NOT to get the nomination... i.e. 44% chance he gets the nom, 56% chance he does not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

calguy

(5,306 posts)

6. When the primary voting gets underway

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #2)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 05:24 PM

Jan 2020

I believe Joe will pull ahead and leave the other candidates in the dust.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

emmaverybo

(8,144 posts)

4. Link?

Reply to Demsrule86 (Original post)

Tue Jan 21, 2020, 04:01 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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