Buttigieg surges to third place in new Iowa poll

[JaneQPublic]

South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) surged into third place in a poll of the Iowa caucus released Sunday.

Eleven percent of likely Democratic Iowa caucusgoers surveyed by Emerson Polling said they would pick Buttigieg to be their 2020 presidential nominee.

Overall, Buttigieg placed third behind Former Vice President Joe Biden, at 25 percent, and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), at 24 percent.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/435520-buttigieg-surges-to-third-place-in-new-iowa-poll

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

1. Booooom!! Way to go Pete!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[vsrazdem]

2. That's exciting.

[mr_lebowski]

3. Dude is freaking impressive, man ...

https://www.southbendtribune.com/south-bend-symphony-orchestra-concert-feat-mayor-pete-buttigieg-at/image_b3aa8758-6c0c-11e3-933b-0019bb30f31a.html

Sadly, not a video, but ... he's a Concert-level Pianist TOO?

Are you kidding me?

[handmade34]

4. will be very happy

when he surpasses Bernie

[Blue_Adept]

5. anyone else remember the monthly "leading the polls" thing from the 2016 Republican primary?

We'll see a lot of this here once things get fully in motion as well.

[JaneQPublic]

6. Good point.

Polls this early don't really mean much. I heard that about this early in the 2004 race, Joe Lieberman had a huge lead in the polls.

That said, it's still quite significant that Mayor Pete has gone from abject obscurity to being a legit contender.

[Eric J in MN]

7. The poll design favored him.

Pete Buttigieg got his own number for respondents to press at the start of the robo-poll and the other candidates didn’t.

Link to tweet

[JaneQPublic]

8. Sounds more like it's weighted against Mayor Pete.

If he's the first candidate named and you "can't go back," then he or his number is more likely to be forgotten by the end of the list.

[Buzz Lightyear]

9. Do you predict future polls to find him at over 11%?

Since you believe the poll is bias against him.

[nsd]

10. Surely they randomized the order of names?

That is, different respondents got a different order. That seems like an obvious thing to do.

But even if they did that, it seems odd to separate out one name from the others.

[Eric J in MN]

11. Maybe but if they didn't

...it would explain the surprise result.

Maybe he quickly became popular in IA.

The next IA poll will tell us.

[JaneQPublic]

12. He was on Morning Joe, the View, and a couple of other TV shows last week.

Of course, Joe S. took personal credit for Pete's poll rise.