CBS News Battleground Tracker: Buttigieg rises in IA and NH, Biden back atop delegate hunt

[highplainsdem]

Overall findings: Biden 29%, Warren 26%, Sanders 18%, Buttigieg 9%, Harris 7%, all others 2% or less

Delegate count: Biden 629, Warren 580, Sanders 251, Buttigieg 23, Klobuchar 11


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pete-buttigieg-rises-in-iowa-new-hampshire-biden-back-atop-delegate-hunt-cbs-news-poll/

The Democratic nomination race remains unsettled because many voters are conflicted between what they want and whether they think can win. Some candidates who generate excitement are also seen as risky. Progressive policies are popular but might be too liberal to win swing voters. And while voters say they are satisfied with their current selection of candidates, very few have actually settled on one.

So, across the early primary and caucus states through Super Tuesday, voters' top pick continues to swing back and forth between Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, with neither able to break away.

Warren, whose support has dipped since last month, is seen by most as exciting; however, many also describe her as risky and worry her policy stances are too liberal to defeat President Trump, a sign that some of the recent critiques leveled at her may have slowed her momentum. Among Warren's backers last month who now pick a different candidate, the bulk of them went to Biden and Pete Buttigieg.

Biden, who has regained the edge in both the poll and our delegate model, is described by most as safe but not exciting.

Bernie Sanders is holding strong in third place. Buttigieg has climbed into the top tier in Iowa and made big gains in New Hampshire.

Iowa now shows a clear top tier defined by Sanders, Biden and now Buttigieg — whose support in the state has tripled since September and risen seven points since just last month — and Warren, who was atop the list with Biden last month and has since dropped a bit.

In addition to his gains in Iowa and New Hampshire, Buttigieg has picked up support in the aggregate 18-state poll. CBS News recontacts voters for this study, and most of Buttigieg's current supporters reported a different first-choice candidate last month, primarily Warren.


-snip-

They asked voters whether a candidate's policies were too liberal to defeat Trump: Sanders 44%, Warren 36%, Buttigieg 17%, Biden 6%


Much more at the link.

Voters consider Biden the safest candidate to nominate. They consider Warren the most exciting, but 40% of respondents consider her risky.

[Thekaspervote]

1. Thx for posting .. this from business insider..voters are most enthusiastic about Biden and yang

Undecided general-election voters most like the businessman Andrew Yang and former Vice President Joe Biden out of all the Democratic candidates, a new Insider poll found.

So low enthusiasm ... much like the rest of those saying he’s doomed.

More at the link

https://www.businessinsider.com/undecided-general-election-voters-prefer-biden-yang-2020-democrats-2019-10

[highplainsdem]

5. Thanks, Kasper! Really interesting article you've linked to! I hope everyone reads it!

[thesquanderer]

2. Here's what's changed from the September tracker to the new one...

With Harris down and Beto out, the beneficiaries appear to be Biden, Warren, and Buttigieg.

[highplainsdem]

3. What's changed from the October tracker is that Warren lost 140 delegates.

In October the delegate count was:
Warren 720
Biden 577
Sanders 159

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2020-democratic-polls-elizabeth-warren-extends-lead-across-early-states-new-hampshire-draws-even-with-biden-in-iowa/


Now, in November:
Biden 629
Warren 580
Sanders 251


Those delegates went to Biden and Sanders (more to Sanders, as he apparently takes back progressive supporters Warren had won over, but Biden still gained more than 50).

[thesquanderer]

4. Thanks for filling the blank. I missed the October one in my search. (n/t)

[Cha]

6. KR.. Thank you, hpd!