Pre-Debate Poll Averages--2 versions, both more or less Biden 29, Warren 24, Sanders 15

[UncleNoel]

As the dust settles from the 4th debate, we can see how the wind blows with the post-debate polls to come.

RCP as currently shown; Other averages created from polls posted by 538. Comes out pretty much the same.

All 538 Poll Averages: Biden 29.8 Warren 24.3, Sanders 14.5 (Biden +5.5)
RCP Poll Averages: Biden 29.4, Warren 23.4, Sanders 15.4 (Biden +6)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls
Biden 29.4, Warren 23.4, Sanders 15.4 (Biden +6)
Buttigieg 5.6, Harris 5.2
O'Rourke 2.8, Yang 2.2
Klobuchar 1.8, Booker 1.6, Steyer 1.4, Gabbard 1.2, Bennet 1.0
Castro 0.8, Williamson 0.6, Ryan 0.6, Bullock0.2

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

All-Polls-Average (10/1-15):
HarrisX (C+) 10/13-15: Biden 34, Warren 18, Sanders 15
Economist/YouGov (B) (LV) 10/13-15: Biden 25, Warren 28, Sanders 13
Quinnipiac (A-) 10/11-13: Biden 27, Warren 30, Sanders 11
Politico/Morning Consult ( (LV) 10/7-12: Biden 32, Warren 21, Sanders 19
FOX News (LV) 10/6-8: Biden 32, Warren 22, Sanders 17
Avalanche Strategy (RV) 10/1-4: Biden 2, Warren 27, Sanders 12

I replaced the newest HarrisX for the older Hill/HarrisX rather than keeping both (they are separate polls) out of fairness. They are roughly the same. Also, RCP reported Warren 29 for YouGov, but I used the figure from 538 (28). Avalanche Strategy was not reported by RCP.

So we have both Biden-leaning and Warren-leaning polls all in a row...

[Yoopy]

1. I see polls there that weren't conducted post debate

Why am I seeing Quinnipiac and Fox in that list?

[UncleNoel]

2. They are polls listed by both 538 and RCP in October

Here's a media report on these:

Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren lead the pack in polling before fourth Democratic debate in Ohio
https://news.yahoo.com/joe-biden-elizabeth-warren-lead-181747928.html

snip//

Who's leading between Biden and Warren? It depends on which polling outfit you ask. Biden leads Warren 32%-21% in the latest update from Politico-Morning Consult and 32%-22% in a poll released last week by Fox News. Warren leads by 3 percentage points in a Quinnipiac University poll published Monday and by 4 points in an Economist-YouGov poll published last week.

[UncleNoel]

3. One interesting bit is that in the Biden-friendly polls

he leads by a considerable amount, while in the Warren-friendly polls not so much.