Aug 26-29 Harris X poll, LIKELY VOTERS: Biden 37%, Sanders & Warren 13%, Harris 10%,

[highplainsdem]

Buttigieg 4%, Booker & O'Rourkee 3%, all others 1% or less


Link to 538's latest polls page for the easiest way to read the numbers:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/



Direct link to the poll results:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQWliNXpilOeF0xnS2w_1VkaAZpzdwPYCJSZEE3Q6nDkSeUXh84rc6VFvhspORc513LO1fO0OoFeFtt/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0



NOTE: 538 is using the "Definite Voter" category from this Harris X poll as their Likely Voter number.

[oasis]

1. Onward and upward!

[crazytown]

2. Do you believe Biden is something like 24 points ahead?

[highplainsdem]

4. Those are the poll results for the group of voters identified as most likely to vote. The registered

voters poll, which I just posted, has him at 32%, which matches a lot of other polls lately.

[crazytown]

6. Im tired of outlier polls

whatever the justification or rationale. Sorry.

[highplainsdem]

7. I wish we had more Likely Voter polls to compare it to. Pollsters use different questions

to gauge how likely someone is to vote, and it's quite possible this poll's questions skew it much more toward Biden, with the category of most likely voters, than other Likely Voter polls will.

[crazytown]

10. If you can find a poll that has both respondents and likely voters

in the same set, you could debunk the assertion that Biden supporters are less enthusiastic than others. It must be out there somewhere I would have thought.

[LincolnRossiter]

9. That's why you leave both high and low outliers in the average...

It balances out.

[highplainsdem]

11. Btw, the YouGov poll that had Biden 24% Warren 20% Sanders 14% is a Likely Voter poll,

and one obviously using different polling criteria.

[crazytown]

12. Well for utterly incomprehensible reasons

I kinda like that poll, re 2nd & 3rd

[highplainsdem]

13. Thought you would, which is why I wanted to mention it.

[highplainsdem]

14. Just discovered that yesterday's Harris X poll, which I'd missed earlier, had Biden at 38%

for the category Harris X called Definite Voter and 538 calls Likely Voter.

So Biden lost a point since yesterday in this 3-day tracking poll.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSy9RLHZyJNAYZ7I0UwLL3FISQC331l1Pymbft_joVC6ojj_ZIRvR81QUl0mCk5vbHeXAGQHTNxm1bt/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0

He's at 33% there among registered voters.

[riverine]

5. I do. Biden has two of the top three dominant Democratic factions clearly on his side.

Business Democrats - Biden
African Americans - Biden

Progressives - split between Warren and Sanders

[Cha]

3. But but "gaffes"!

lol.. I think the gaffes are helping!

Thanks, highplainsdem!

[honest.abe]

8. Blowout in the making.

Gaffes notwithstanding.. but perhaps withsitting.

😉

[Green Line]

16. Attacking Joe

is a losing strategy, he's too well liked.

[NYMinute]

15. K&R nt