Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumNOT The Onion: BS' economic advisor says they can pay for his plan by just printing more money.
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primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)Charmin!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dagstead Bumwood
(3,598 posts)Seems fitting.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)people would like to join in!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
yaesu
(8,020 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,609 posts)causes inflation, you have more money chasing the same amount of goods so the price of everything goes up. People have more money but everything costs more so nobody is better off. Thats Econ 101 and an economic advisor should know better.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,315 posts)Trillions printed in the last 10 years. Wheres the inflation?
Look at the yield on the Treasury.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
unblock
(52,126 posts)The money supply generally should grow with the economy.
"Printing money" only tends to cause inflation when the money supply grows faster than the economy.
Government spending programs directly expand the economy, so printing money to pay for it makes perfect sense.
The trick is to not print too much.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,609 posts)and to replace bills that have to be taken out of circulation. They don't print money in order to control the economy:
Many who were against an interventionist central bank opposed this credit creation as printing money, which would lead to hyperinflation. The Federal Reserve and its defenders argued its policies were more of a reaction to economic conditions and the absence of expansionary fiscal policy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Govt spends (or lends) by marking up accounts in the banking system, not by printing dollars.
Banks pay for printed cash with reserves, which is just another name for the funds that banks have in their checking accounts at the Fed.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
unblock
(52,126 posts)That's what quantitative easing was all about. The fed bought up tons of financial assets like mortgages and treasuries from banks and paid them by simply crediting their accounts with more money, effectively printing cash, albeit electronically.
Congress can pay for programs by issuing treasuries, then the fed can buy treasuries through the the same mechanism.
Again, it works if you don't overdo the "printing". What matters is how much the government spending actually expends the economy. If it goes to workers and consumers and poor people who will spend locally, it works. If it goes to rich people who will hoard it or spend/invest it overseas, then the printing of money here would cause inflation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Fed sets interest rates, explicitly the overnight and penalty fed funds rates. It does not control quantity as that would interfere with its interest rate targets. It also has target rates that are not published or explicit.
Fed bought assets Congress has approved it to purchase eg Treasury backed mortgages and govt securities. Its not wrong to call Tsy backed mortgages or any Tsy backed loan, govt securities (held by the public or non govt), all cash held by the public, and bank reserves the net money supply.
The Fed did do a bunch of unconventional things at beginning of the financial crisis, ie Maiden Lane AIG bailouts etc.
QE removed interest income from the economy contracting the net money supply.
Hoarding by rich people does not cause inflation. Think that thru.
MMT consolidates Treasury and Fed operations.
The starting point for the dollar to enter the economy is federal spending (or lending).
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
unblock
(52,126 posts)any way the supply of money in circulation is increased.
This can happen in several ways, including private banks simply deciding to lend more. The one dollar they receive in deposits becomes ten (or so) dollars in circulation when they decide to lend as much as they are allowed. If banks decide to freeze lending, e.g., for credit reasons, the money in circulation starts to contract.
The fed lowers rates by buying treasuries, bidding the price up, thereby lowering yield. They buy treasuries by paying banks, putting cash in circulation. The banks in turn lend out multiples of it (based on reserve requirements) putting even more money in circulation.
In practice, the fed doesn't have to fully pay for manipulating rates because the announcement combined with small purchases is enough to lower rates as investors don't like to fight the fed. But between fed operations and bank lending, more money is in circulation.
I know hoarding cash doesn't cause inflation in and of itself. I meant, if the government increases the money supply to pay for a government program, then that will cause inflation unless the government program increases economic activity. So if the government program stimulates enough domestic spending and investment, it wouldn't cause inflation. Hoarding cash wouldn't provide economic activity sufficient to counter the inflationary effect of the increse in money supply.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Banks dont lend deposits.
Deposits are bank liabilities.
What limits bank lending is capital requirements and other regulatory requirements.
The capital is like a buffer in case of losses.
Thats the banks skin in the game. When losses exceed capital, the government pays.
Reserve requirements are like checking account minimums for the banks account at the Fed.
Fractional reserve banking is a myth. Hasnt been that way since the intro of FDIC and further Fed Reserve consolidation (all which happened when FDR closed the domestic gold window).
Real world is different than text books (*but not all text books).
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bahrbearian
(13,466 posts)The Federal Reserve, the United States central bank, has printed more than $2 trillion since the global economic crisis began in 2008. This has more than tripled the size of its balance sheet. Before this spree of paper money creation began, the Fed held $950 billion in assets; now it holds nearly $3 trillion.
But since Bernie wants to continue Obama's QE ,it is now Pie in the Sky. it shall never come to pass.
And if we go with Pelosi's Pay-Go than nothing will ever change. Forget about the Green New Deal.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
riverine
(516 posts)in the form of US Treasuries.
This held down interest rates. The Fed is slowly "unwinding" that balance sheet by selling those bonds and destroying that money.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bahrbearian
(13,466 posts)They didn't hold it they gave it to Banks and Bond Holder's at almost 0.5% interest.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
riverine
(516 posts)The banks got nothing*.
*(a few select banks are known as"primary dealers' who auction off the Treasures and receive a tiny commission).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Govt securities are just interest earning dollars. They are like having a 100% insured savings account at the Fed.
So when the Fed sells securities, its changing the composition of dollars held by the economy from non interest earning to interest earning dollars. Its not net destroying anything. In fact its net adding dollars by adding interest incomes.
Taxes or loans repaid to the Federal govt destroy dollars.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
treestar
(82,383 posts)It added a couple of forms and made it harder to discharge student debt. It could still be discharged for hardship. It was the courts that interpreted "hardship" so strictly.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,609 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Chemisse
(30,803 posts)Oh yes. Several times.
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/11/trump-once-considered-just-printing-money-to-lower-the-national-debt-woodward-reports.html
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bahrbearian
(13,466 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,315 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
riverine
(516 posts)The Fed just does it to combat unemployment - which is one of their two mandates.
Bernanke did it.
And thanks Ben Bernanke.
btw the Fed pays all the interest earned on Treasuries back to taxpayers every year.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed-remittance/fed-sent-653-billion-to-treasury-in-2018-paid-385-billion-to-banks-idUSKCN1R322X
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Midnight Writer
(21,717 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,609 posts)with the possible exception of Larry Kudlow is that stupid.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,315 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
crazytown
(7,277 posts)Inflation 101
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,315 posts)We need some wage inflation and the inflation that comes with it. The economy and people grow out of debt. Thats how people like my father, before he paid of his house, had a $200 dollar mortgage payment. Seemed like a lot, Im sure, when he bought the house but it was peanuts by the time he reached middle age.
Unfortunately for people reaching retirement today, weve gone through a forty year battle against non existent hyper inflation. People reaching retirement now are, for the most part, fucked.
What people here are now proposing, because Teh Bernie, is the same fate for todays younger people.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
betsuni
(25,380 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)by raiding our old sets.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,972 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,972 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
riverine
(516 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Hey I get the Bernie vs Biden thing, but this Democrats vs MMT is the dumbest f%%%ing thing Ive ever seen.
MMTs operational description is by far and away the most accurate theory in describing actual fiscal and monetary operations.
Bernie doesnt even subscribe to or understand MMT.
He just listens to Kelton on specific issues bc its hard not to.
Do yourself a favor and work thru some of the links at wiki page that are written by MMT economists.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
riverine
(516 posts)I doubt very seriously I will.
The fact is that any sovereign can print so much money that no one else wants it.
See Venezuela (a sovereign) with its own currency. They are very rich in Maduros or whatever it is called.
But they can't buy basic medicine or toilet paper because no one wants their currency. Thus the plight they are in.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Krugman, like most conventional econs, probably never had a class in accounting. He admittedly does not understand how to do balance sheet accounting. Its embarrassing.
Hes not as smart as his perch might imply.
Kelton and Krugman debated via Twitter for weeks and every unbiased observer thought he was completely out of his league.
I will add that MMTers were the most voracious, consistent and elite defenders of Obama-Biden era deficits and their administrations efforts to increase govt spending and cut taxes for working people during the recovery. You literally should be thanking us and pinning medals on MMT economists.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)"Hes not as smart as his perch might imply"?
Oh dear.
Some of "what they think" includes:
To remove cash from the monetary base, and thereby offset inflation, you have to tax the people who spend most of their incomethe poor or middle classes.
Kelton also makes the startling claim that she knows better than the his staff director what the candidate she is advising is really doing and thinking:
After my call with Gunnels, Kelton e-mailed me to say that portraying Sanders as opposed to M.M.T. would be a mistake. She went on, Senator Sanders knows that Congress needs to be able to spend without that artificial constraint.
Presidential candidate Sanders, like every other presidential candidate, is trying not to get called out by literally everyone for proposing stuff he cant pay for. You have to know this is how the game is played.
It's stunning that Kelton said on the record to a reporter from the New Yorker:
Kelton should be fired for that alone.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/the-economist-who-believes-the-government-should-just-print-more-money
For more on Paul Krugman and his perch:
https://bit.ly/2P6QptV
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)The man admittedly doesnt not understand how to split out a balance sheet into Assets, Liabilities, and Equities and follow out thru multiple transactions with other agents. Oh f%%%ing dear is right! Why are you people holding him up as some oracle?
Krugman does not understand that loans create deposits in the banking system! Thats disqualifying. Not a smart person. If he doesnt understand MMT, its because he doesnt bother to read and cant accept that something besides ISLM might be a better modeling framework. Thats just arrogance.
The whole idea we might need to raise taxes to offset inflation due to a GND runs contrary to implicit notion of this article that MMT prescribes unlimited deficits.
Mosler and Kelton do not advocate higher taxes on the poor and middle class, but if taxes are the only tool (which it is not) for mitigating inflation then regressive taxes would work best (not that we shouldnt tax the rich for other reasons).
Meanwhile, it is incorrect to say Sanders is for or against MMT. The candidate hasnt taken a position but has tried to avoid a debate on the subject! So Kelton is correct and that hardly merits the firing of one of nations leading female economists.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)It's difficult to even know where to even begin with the problems in the validity and soundness of such a claim.
- What are the criteria for the determination of who is or isn't biased?
- Who determined that criteria?
- As a fan of the theory espoused by one side, do you meet the criteria for inclusion in the "unbiased" set?
- Do you have data to support the claim that every single "unbiased observer" thought X?
Anyone could ask a similar set of questions concerning the the mild invective "out of his league" and then finish by questioning whether and why any unbiased observer would employ loaded language to make his case.
- hasty generalization
- petitio principii
- argument by emotive language (loaded language fallacy)
- argumentum ad hominem (abusive)
- tu quoque
Anything that follows a statement as sweeping and one-sided as
is bound to be met with skepticism, especially given the subtext and extension:
This is probably not the best way to persuade an audience that an opinion concerning theory is thoughtful, measured, and indeed worthy of serious consideration.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)By the way, you are committing the authority fallacy or argumentum ad verecundiam.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
PETRUS
(3,678 posts)But I've found that most people (not just on DU) don't understand economics particularly well, and tend to hold any number of false assumptions. Thanks for posting, and good luck.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Literally Democrats deploy the same arguments against MMT that Republicans do.
We are our own worst enemy.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(296,868 posts)"our Own Worst Enemy".
VOTE BLUE!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PETRUS
(3,678 posts)Not necessarily about MMT, but when discussing macroeconomics, fiscal, and trade policy.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Also, I'd be careful with the "using the same arguments as Republicans!!!" trope.
It can backfire on someone.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)And because my argument does not concern economic theory, it appeals to no economic authority, so that charge fails on relevance.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)You wrote literally wrote oh dear and then included a snip in an appeal to authority - which also included an ad hominem attack by said authority figures.
Your next post was about one sentence I wrote - ignoring everything else - in some sort of hypermoralizing on argumentation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)It is not my point. It is your point. How can it be my appeal?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to lapucelle (Reply #96)
Post removed
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)not to the post your were actually responding to. No wonder it seemed non sequitur.
The quote in my original post in the sub thread doesn't concern an endorsement of any economist. It is simply the actual text from the New Yorker article in contrast to your characterization of it. I am not appealing to Krugman's economic authority. I am correcting the record as to what the article actually said.
Similarly, quoting exactly what MMT theorists said on the record is not an ad hominum attack against them. Why would quoting their own words be an attack?
It is indeed unfortunate that both Mosler and Kelton said disrespectful things concerning Senator Sanders, specifically both Mosler's claims about the candidate's grasp of MMT and Kelton's insistence that the candidate's campaign might not be entirely candid about the his views on MMT because it is election season.
They should be more circumspect in the future.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bobbieinok
(12,858 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
defacto7
(13,485 posts)It never worked. You'd think we'd learn from things tried 2000 years ago that failed. But nooooo...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Prosper
(761 posts)Delusional.
Makes as much sense. MMT totally ignores generating revenue through tax revenue by stimulating the economy to create self paying jobs. New industries sponsored by tax revenue.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)The federal govt spends first and then taxes can be paid and/or govt securities purchased.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Prosper
(761 posts)for raising funds but tax money spent has positive results.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Govt spending has many positive effects.
But the concept of spending tax money only applies to local/state govts, not the federal govt which is the tax and tax credit monopolist. US dollars are tax credits. All federal spending (or lending) creates tax credits. Taxes paid after that spending deletes tax credits remaining in the economy.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Prosper
(761 posts)The key word in your sentence is economy. The economy is handicapped and especially in the middle class by lack of money. In stead of printing money why not tax money not as a punitive but directing action to inject money back into the economy. By not punitive I mean to exclude money invested in the goods and services sector from tax liability. Only subject to a high progressive rate if the money is not invested or spent. Ascribing money to its origin of facilitating trading. Money not used for trading in goods and services exists to destroy the economies it was created to facilitate.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
riverine
(516 posts)OP link
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,380 posts)Then I saw Krugman's comment, the only time I will ever have anything in common with him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dalton99a
(81,404 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)Mahalo, mcar!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,128 posts)There is just a aura of unreality about his economic proposals.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,710 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Hell, lets just stop bothering with those budgets all together and just print more money!!
Nothing like just handing Republicans all the talking points they need on a silver platter...
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Vegas Roller
(704 posts)aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)Sanders campaign's "bold" new plan to allow people to print their own money according to their needs.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Me.
(35,454 posts)And that tells you just about all you need to know about the Sanders Institute,
"Sanders Institute founding fellow and leading economist Stephanie Kelton"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
betsuni
(25,380 posts)How are you funding that? Just print more money!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Me.
(35,454 posts)With a stick
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)Thats what FDIC insurance and the Fed as the lender of last resort means.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
IndyOp
(15,508 posts)Printing the bucks is - perhaps - an essential approach to providing adequate funding to address climate crisis.
Debunking deficit hysteria with Stephanie Kelton
https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/debunking-deficit-hysteria-stephanie-kelton-podcast-transcript-ncna1003301
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)Mosler has his own remedy for inequality, but its so counter-intuitive that it catches people out, he said. Part of it is to eliminate the federal income tax entirely, corporate and individual. And replace it with just a property tax.
snip=========================================================
Did one of MMT's chief proponents really say on the record that
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/the-economist-who-believes-the-government-should-just-print-more-money
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
IndyOp
(15,508 posts)pointing out that BS isnt on board.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
keithbvadu2
(36,669 posts)A story is told of a former Governor of Bank of Uganda who was killed after defying orders from President Idi Amin to print money. It is reported that Joseph Mubiru, was summoned by Amin and asked to release money urgently. The governor told Amin that the treasury did not have money.
https://www.google.com/search?source=hp&ei=YJ9gXc_MMoSU-gS3iaaADg&q=idi+amin+print+money&oq=idi+amin+print+money&gs_l=psy-ab.3...5373.9889..10900...0.0..1.451.4060.0j17j0j2j2......0....1..gws-wiz.....10..35i39j0i131j0j0i20i263j0i10j0i22i30.TGfEiJbGVRw&ved=0ahUKEwjP_Ky_uZrkAhUEip4KHbeECeAQ4dUDCAc&uact=5
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
keithbvadu2
(36,669 posts)'... but it actually means in practice that
Zimbabwe no longer uses Zimbabwe currency for trade.
They use US dollars mainly.
A nice stable currency.'
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BootinUp
(47,085 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)heaven now
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lapucelle
(18,187 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,868 posts)YAY! !
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
tirebiter
(2,533 posts)And preWWII Germany. Wheelbarrow makers were happy
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CarlitosMMT
(53 posts)The Confederacy has same problem as Republic of Texas, they lacked a credible tax system.
All other modern hyperinflations have come from shortages that precede the govt spending, including Germany, Zimbabwe, and Venezuela.
MMT doesnt advocate spending in unlimited quantities. The limits are real resources.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Voltaire2
(12,964 posts)We cannot use debt to improve our lives or build or public infrastructure.
Austerity Democrats are why we lose elections.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
aidbo
(2,328 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(296,868 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)Print money faster than he can lose it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden