Morning Consult: Biden Keeps On Keepin' On

[Scurrilous]

Last edited Tue Jul 16, 2019, 09:03 PM - Edit history (1)

<snip>

"Joe Biden had the most to lose heading into the first Democratic presidential debate, and he took a significant hit. However, he’s already begun to rebound, and no one else is getting much closer either. A report out from Morning Consult’s tracking poll shows the former VP still getting nearly a third of all support from Democratic primary voters, 32%.

Here’s their graph over time with all candidates listed:



In this series, Biden lost almost all of his post-announcement bump after the debate. That’s still not putting him in any real danger of losing the lead, as he’s more than ten points up on Bernie Sanders, who has barely budged since Biden got in the race. Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren benefited from strong debate performances, but their modest gains still put them nearly 20 points behind Biden and still trailing Sanders. At best, the race is looking as though it has developed three tiers, with Biden in a league of his own.

Of course, this is just one poll series. What about other national polling? The RCP average tracking graph shows a very similar picture — with the main difference being bad news for Bernie:



In this aggregation, Biden appears to have lost a little more ground with primary voters, dropping below his pre-announcement floor, but also seems to be rebounding. Fifteen points below, though, Harris and Warren have caught up with Bernie for a tie in second place. Warren’s numbers have been ramping up steadily since May, but Harris’ spiked after the debate, a clear signal to the field that attacking Biden on race will at least get you noticed."

https://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2019/07/16/morning-consult-biden-keeps-keepin/

[Thekaspervote]

1. He's the one that can take out dotard... go Joe!

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. But I heard that he was "plummeting" nearly everywhere. "Plummeting", I tell ya.

[LakeArenal]

8. Believe me.

[wiley]

3. Really wish at least a dozen would drop out, stop wasting money

and campaign for Senate, Governor, House and state legislative races. The latter are the absolutely most important and would truly benefit from those with a "celebrity" status.

[Thekaspervote]

6. Me too!!

[comradebillyboy]

7. I love to see Castro take out Cornyn in Texas.

[VarryOn]

4. I'm coming around to Biden....

He'll do...I just wish I was more enthused. Maybe when it's head-to-head, next summer, I'll be fired up!

[Scurrilous]

10. ...

[oasis]

5. Up, up and away......

[LakeArenal]

9. When do all the polls stop being "early"?

Thereby, minimizing the results.

[JI7]

11. january

[wyldwolf]

14. when someone else is leading, duh!

?itemid=12221156

[LakeArenal]

15. Oh yeah, right.

[Cha]

12. Abidin' with Biden!

Somebody had to say it! Mahalo, Scurrilous!

[Scurrilous]

13. LOL

[Johnny2X2X]

16. Biden-Harris is a winning ticket

Love Harris, she would be the perfect candidate to take on Trump and Pence, if she can't be at the top of the ticket, Biden would be smart to pick her as a running mate.

[musicblind]

17. I'm surprised to see Harris going down a little after her surge.

I thought she did great at the debates.

Good momentum for Warren, though.

[ucrdem]

18. Looks like Harris is headed back down and Joe is headed back up, still in first

funny how that works...