Democratic Primaries

BeyondGeography

(39,367 posts) Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:28 AM Jul 2019

Warren and Harris up, Biden and Sanders down in CA tracking poll

CA 120 Presidential Primary July Tracking Poll (N=4,050)

Biden 19.6% (-3.5)
Sanders 15.6% (-3.1)
Harris 20.3% (+6.3)
Warren 24.8% (+1.4)
Buttigieg 7.7% (0.1)

https://public.tableau.com/profile/capitol.weekly#!/vizhome/2020PrimaryTrackingSurvey_15626518585990/CA120POLLSTORY

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Warren and Harris up, Biden and Sanders down in CA tracking poll (Original Post) BeyondGeography Jul 2019 OP

I expected Kamala to look strong in CA. stopbush Jul 2019 #1

Warren has a lot of people on the ground BeyondGeography Jul 2019 #2

many people in California want their elected officials in the same office for a long time JI7 Jul 2019 #10

Harris is not doing so remarkably in her own state, actually Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #12

DU rec... SidDithers Jul 2019 #3

Would love to see Senator Kamala Harris lose her own state. Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #5

Real classy post.......... NOT!!! still_one Jul 2019 #9

About the same level as classiness as the one it is responding to. Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #11

Oh wow!! Tiggeroshii Jul 2019 #4

Never heard of Tableau. And they aren't even among the many pollsters rated by 538. highplainsdem Jul 2019 #6

It's a partnership with Capitol Weekly BeyondGeography Jul 2019 #7

Thanks! highplainsdem Jul 2019 #8

stopbush

(24,395 posts)

1. I expected Kamala to look strong in CA.

Reply to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:30 AM

Jul 2019

Surprised at Warren’s strength. Not surprised Sanders is sinking.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BeyondGeography

(39,367 posts)

2. Warren has a lot of people on the ground

Reply to stopbush (Reply #1)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:35 AM

Jul 2019

to go with a strong message and her other attributes. It’s smart for her to compete hard in CA because delegates are awarded proportionally and, from her perspective, you need to limit the damage there if and when Harris takes off.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

JI7

(89,244 posts)

10. many people in California want their elected officials in the same office for a long time

Reply to stopbush (Reply #1)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 12:16 PM

Jul 2019

but if Harris does well in earlier states California will move towards her.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

12. Harris is not doing so remarkably in her own state, actually

Reply to stopbush (Reply #1)

Wed Jul 17, 2019, 09:59 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)

3. DU rec...

Reply to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:36 AM

Jul 2019

Lots of delegates in CA.

Would love to see Senator Bernard Sanders (I-VT) not get 15% in CA.

Sid

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

5. Would love to see Senator Kamala Harris lose her own state.

Reply to SidDithers (Reply #3)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:46 AM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

still_one

(92,117 posts)

9. Real classy post.......... NOT!!!

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #5)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 12:08 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

11. About the same level as classiness as the one it is responding to.

Reply to still_one (Reply #9)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 12:27 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

4. Oh wow!!

Reply to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:45 AM

Jul 2019

Things are getting real

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(48,961 posts)

6. Never heard of Tableau. And they aren't even among the many pollsters rated by 538.

Reply to BeyondGeography (Original post)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:47 AM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BeyondGeography

(39,367 posts)

7. It's a partnership with Capitol Weekly

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #6)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:57 AM

Jul 2019

https://capitolweekly.net/

Credible sample size and if you look at the trajectory by month it fits with what has happened in a lot of other state polls. YMMV of course.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

highplainsdem

(48,961 posts)

8. Thanks!

Reply to BeyondGeography (Reply #7)

Tue Jul 16, 2019, 12:00 PM

Jul 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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